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0x8ca54889af2f5f87be45a516923428249853fd56
Secondary: Contrarian Fader
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 1 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.98 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 2.9 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Contrarian Fader, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:11:34 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $127k | $169k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $196k | $61.8k | $94.5k | $91.4k |
| Win rate | 100% | 17% | 29% | 27% |
| ROI | 130% | 22% | 32% | 30% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.219 | 0.085 | 0.059 |
| Markets | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 |
| Best day | $173 | $196k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 1.46 | 1.70 | 1.67 |
| Mean trade PnL | $98k | $5.15k | $6.75k | $6.09k |
| Median trade PnL | $98k | $-9.32k | $-7.96k | $-7.27k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 7.31 | 4.26 | 4.58 |
| Largest win | $152k | $152k | $152k | $152k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-30.6k | $-30.6k | $-30.6k |
| Expectancy | $98k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $83.1k | $40.3k | $39.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.248 | 0.106 | 0.072 |
| Calmar | 0.608 | 0.608 | 0.608 | 0.608 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 31.0 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 31.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 78% | 46% | 42% | 42% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 82% | 76% | 75% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 99% | 95% | 94% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 11 | 11 | 65 | 77 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 24% | 25% |
| Avg entry price | 0.434 | 0.434 | 0.321 | 0.319 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.714 | 0.714 | 0.190 | 0.154 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 7% | 6% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.3 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | 3.3 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| Add-to-winner share | 22% | 22% | 25% | 26% |
| Average-down share | 44% | 44% | 56% | 57% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 100% | 93% | 89% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.3183 | 0.2300 | 0.2384 | 0.2362 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3482 | 0.1359 | 0.1913 | 0.1854 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.984 | 0.984 | 0.976 | 0.982 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $0 | $-704 | $-543 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 0.0% | -16.7% | -13.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0658 | 0.0658 | 0.0658 | 0.0658 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.29k | $-1.29k | $-1.29k | $-1.29k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -16.5% | -16.5% | -16.5% | -16.5% |
| Contrarian score | -0.234 | -0.234 | -0.234 | -0.234 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0364 | 0.0364 | 0.0364 | 0.0364 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $196k |
| $196k |
| Worst day | $173 | $-73.4k | $-73.4k | $-73.4k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $5.15k |
| $6.75k |
| $6.09k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 13% | 22% | 20% | 34% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 25% | 40% | 40% | 66% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 11.00 | 11.00 | 65.00 | 77.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.00 | 0.53 | 1.08 | 1.20 |
| Avg ticket | $13.7k | $13.7k | $4.98k | $4.73k |
| Median ticket | $5k | $5k | $1.2k | $1.49k |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -2.80 | -5.20 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 0.23 |
| 0.64 |
| 0.71 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $91.4k | 27% | 15 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8ee99ee9… | $152k | $124k | 122.2% |
| 0xaeec5d8d… | $43.8k | $26k | 168.5% |
| 0x67008e04… | $-30.6k | $30.6k | -100.0% |
| 0xd78567ca… | $-25k | $25k | -100.0% |
| 0x66e672b7… | $23.3k | $4k | 583.5% |
| 0xf8dd1bad… | $-20k | $20k | -100.0% |
| 0x10b86541… | $-15k | $15k | -100.0% |
| 0xc762565f… | $-14k | $14k | -100.0% |
| 0xd57b2721… | $-10k | $10k | -100.0% |
| 0x3112fac8… | $9.37k | $10k | 93.7% |
| 0xf85f7548… | $-8.65k | $8.65k | -100.0% |
| 0x7fd68f8e… | $-7.27k | $7.27k | -100.0% |
| 0x2a4f962b… | $-3.15k | $4.87k | -64.7% |
| 0x9717e7f4… | $-1.93k | $1.93k | -100.0% |
| 0xd542cefe… | $-1.7k | $1.7k | -100.0% |
| 65 |
| 65 |
| 65 |
| 65 |