0x8a4c…532b

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b

Tilted GamblerGrade BStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 5.62 and disposition ratio 0.04, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 600.6), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 12:11:38 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$1.08M

Open PnL

$1.83k

Max drawdown

$133k

Underwater days

180

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	N/A	∞
Realized PnL	$0	$0	$23.5k	∞
Win rate	N/A	N/A	100%	59%
ROI	N/A	N/A	9%	3%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	-0.582	-0.064	0.096
Markets	1	16	31	117
Best day	$279	$1.96k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	∞	1.43
Mean trade PnL	N/A	N/A	$2.94k	$437
Median trade PnL	N/A	N/A	$1.85k	$14
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.99
Largest win	N/A	N/A	$9.5k	$138k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-137k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$3.64k	$5.65k	$6.65k
Sortino (daily)	0.105	-0.356	-0.085	0.086
Calmar	2.867	2.867	2.867	2.867
Drawdown duration (days)	181.0	181.0	181.0	181.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	N/A	40%	5%
Concentration top-5	N/A	N/A	96%	13%
Concentration top-10	N/A	N/A	100%	20%
Max win streak	N/A	N/A	8	20
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	21

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	9	60	610	5999
Unique markets	1	16	31	117
Active days ratio	100%	100%	83%	86%
Avg entry price	N/A	0.304	0.549	0.488
Portfolio HHI	1.000	0.336	0.125	0.038
Maker share (notional)	100%	18%	81%	60%
Two-sided share	0%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	28.0	11.3	859.0
Holding time median (h)	N/A	38.6	0.1	1022.0
Max concurrent	N/A	12	15	55
Disposition ratio	N/A	0.10	0.00	0.04
Add-to-winner share	N/A	67%	9%	71%
Average-down share	N/A	33%	2%	28%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	N/A	11%	38%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	N/A	0.0113	0.0558
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	N/A	0.0823	0.1130
Entry timing mean	N/A	N/A	0.856	0.747
Exit quality ($)	N/A	N/A	$185	$-363
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	N/A	0.5%	653.5%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0795	0.0795	0.0795	0.0795
Alpha ($)	$6.59k	$6.59k	$6.59k	$6.59k
Alpha ROI gap	-30.4%	-30.4%	-30.4%	-30.4%
Contrarian score	0.199	0.199	0.199	0.199
Post-fill drift	0.0417	0.0417	0.0417	0.0417
Post-fill candles (mean)	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
Favorite Grinder: 61.4%
Conviction Holder: 46.0%
Scalper: 39.5%
Contrarian Fader: 37.5%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x4dfc31e647… entry 0.027
0x0b16eb7741… entry 0.237
0x293fb49f43… entry 0.039
0x0e858828ba… entry 0.130
0xd189af84a1… entry 0.050
0x0f49db97f7… entry 0.190
0x60279053b7… entry 0.158
0xc0f3faeb3a… entry 0.100
0xad2a9c51b8… entry 0.058
0x473acca842… entry 0.040
0xac1b6017f9… entry 0.169
0x6f3b62e088… entry 0.070
0x9f9b80acee… entry 0.001
0xaa2fcea452… entry 0.280
0xea1759c3e6… entry 0.259
0xf62215a839… entry 0.091
0x06299ab06a… entry 0.002
0x3b2f19935f… entry 0.160
0x4685c41276… entry 0.100
0xd5f5fff23a… entry 0.110
0x93afce5a3a… entry 0.240

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0x8a4c…532b

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 5.62 and disposition ratio 0.04, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 600.6), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

∞

Realized PnL

$23.5k

∞

Win rate

N/A

100%

59%

ROI

N/A

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

-0.582

-0.064

0.096

Markets

117

Best day

$279

$1.96k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

∞

1.43

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$2.94k

$437

Median trade PnL

N/A

$1.85k

$14

Payoff ratio

N/A

0.99

Largest win

N/A

$9.5k

$138k

Largest loss

N/A

$-137k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$3.64k

$5.65k

$6.65k

Sortino (daily)

0.105

-0.356

-0.085

0.086

Calmar

2.867

Drawdown duration (days)

181.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

40%

Concentration top-5

N/A

96%

13%

Concentration top-10

N/A

100%

20%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

610

5999

Unique markets

117

Active days ratio

100%

83%

86%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.304

0.549

0.488

Portfolio HHI

1.000

0.336

0.125

0.038

Maker share (notional)

100%

18%

81%

60%

Two-sided share

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

28.0

11.3

859.0

Holding time median (h)

N/A

38.6

0.1

1022.0

Max concurrent

N/A

Disposition ratio

N/A

0.10

0.00

0.04

Add-to-winner share

N/A

67%

71%

Average-down share

N/A

33%

28%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

11%

38%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.0113

0.0558

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.0823

0.1130

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.856

0.747

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$185

$-363

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

0.5%

653.5%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0795

Alpha ($)

$6.59k

Alpha ROI gap

-30.4%

Contrarian score

0.199

Post-fill drift

0.0417

Post-fill candles (mean)

6.0

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%

Favorite Grinder: 61.4%

Conviction Holder: 46.0%

Scalper: 39.5%

Contrarian Fader: 37.5%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x4dfc31e647… entry 0.027
0x0b16eb7741… entry 0.237
0x293fb49f43… entry 0.039
0x0e858828ba… entry 0.130
0xd189af84a1… entry 0.050
0x0f49db97f7… entry 0.190
0x60279053b7… entry 0.158
0xc0f3faeb3a… entry 0.100
0xad2a9c51b8… entry 0.058
0x473acca842… entry 0.040
0xac1b6017f9… entry 0.169
0x6f3b62e088… entry 0.070
0x9f9b80acee… entry 0.001
0xaa2fcea452… entry 0.280
0xea1759c3e6… entry 0.259
0xf62215a839… entry 0.091
0x06299ab06a… entry 0.002
0x3b2f19935f… entry 0.160
0x4685c41276… entry 0.100
0xd5f5fff23a… entry 0.110
0x93afce5a3a… entry 0.240

US Election	$164k	90%	21
Politics	$140k	63%	111
Sports	$132k	55%	366
january 6	$86.5k	100%	5
Dem Nominee	$76.6k	92%	12
Global Elections	$-58.1k	61%	18
rabios	$-56.4k	50%	2
USA Election	$54.5k	58%	43
Bitcoin	$53.9k	60%	15
Boxing	$47.8k	83%	6
potusbanner	$-41.1k	57%	23
POTUS	$38.4k	75%	24

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x74f97b1c…	$91.4k	$1.84k	4955.2%
0xb26fd99a…	$89.2k	$82.6k	108.1%
0x5fc28bfc…	$-78k	$927	-8414.1%
0xc3d41551…	$71.8k	$994k	7.2%
0x9e907163…	$59.2k	$645k	9.2%
0xaf99acf9…	$-56.4k	$62.1k	-90.9%
0xc6485bb7…	$-54k	$31.6k	-170.9%
0xd6c186dd…	$50k	$93k	53.7%
0x8a8af61b…	$45.3k	$42k	107.7%
0xb4961db4…	$41.1k	$190k	21.6%
0x244c75b2…	$33.2k	$220k	15.1%
0xebddfcf7…	$33.1k	$67.3k	49.1%
0xd1e760f5…	$32.3k	$408k	7.9%
0xdd22472e…	$31.7k	$1.82M	1.7%
0x265366ed…	$30.9k	$146k	21.1%

0x8a4c…532b

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x8a4c…532b

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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