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0x8935…7daa · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x8935…7daa
0x893575c7d99542163c6b6e8a0fe5af0b6d217daa
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 99% and two-sided activity is 80%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 20136.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (14%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:11:28 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $24.3k | $51.6k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $13.1k | $35.1k | $-49.5k | $-49.5k |
| Win rate | 56% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| ROI | 3% | 2% | -2% | -2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.262 | 0.506 | 0.257 |
| Markets | 480 | 827 | 827 | 827 |
| Best day | $101 | $7.92k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.26 | 1.23 | 0.85 | 0.85 |
| Mean trade PnL | $21 | $13 | $-13 | $-13 |
| Median trade PnL | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.98 | 0.96 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| Largest win | $9.83k | $9.83k | $9.83k | $9.83k |
| Largest loss | $-6.03k | $-8k | $-12.7k | $-12.7k |
| Expectancy | $21 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $2.85k | $3.12k | $2.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.900 | 0.331 |
| Calmar | 5.222 | 5.222 | 5.222 | 5.222 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 68.0 | 68.0 | 68.0 | 68.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Concentration top-5 | 40% | 17% | 11% | 11% |
| Concentration top-10 | 63% | 29% | 19% | 19% |
| Max win streak | 10 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Max loss streak | 6 | 9 | 12 | 12 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 12353 | 20136 | 20136 | 20136 |
| Unique markets | 480 | 827 | 827 | 827 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 150% | 150% | 150% |
| Avg entry price | 0.277 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.295 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.047 | 0.032 | 0.032 | 0.032 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Two-sided share | 78% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Max concurrent | 104 | 186 | 186 | 186 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Add-to-winner share | 39% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Average-down share | 43% | 34% | 34% | 34% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.76 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1356 | 0.1617 | 0.1359 | 0.1359 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1747 | 0.1646 | 0.1612 | 0.1612 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.818 | 0.817 | 0.817 | 0.817 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-156 | $-100 | $-165 | $-165 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0396 | -0.0396 | -0.0396 | -0.0396 |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | 0.018 | 0.018 | 0.018 | 0.018 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0246 | -0.0246 | -0.0246 | -0.0246 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Post-fill observations | 522 |
| Worst day | $101 | $101 | $-4.41k | $-7.61k |
| Spread capture | 0.0541 | 0.0632 | 0.0632 | 0.0632 |
| Inventory turnover | 12353.00 | 20136.00 | 20136.00 | 20136.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.23 | 0.48 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Esports | $-47.8k | 57% | 773 |
| Sports | $-942 | 58% | 2037 |
| Tennis | $-779 | 52% | 932 |
| uncategorized | $19 | 50% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x48718703… | $-12.7k | $55.6k | -22.8% |
| 0x65c7a8e0… | $-10.9k | $47k | -23.2% |
| 0x6b049bc3… | $9.83k | $3.38k | 290.7% |
| 0xddde2395… | $-9.27k | $22.2k | -41.8% |
| 0x4a79ee24… | $-8.03k | $25.3k | -31.8% |
| 0xbc2f4d88… | $7.91k | $17.1k | 46.3% |
| 0x06f2a246… | $-6.78k | $24.6k | -27.5% |
| 0x4255afa1… | $-6.03k | $21.4k | -28.1% |
| 0xaddacc91… | $-5.63k | $20.1k | -28.0% |
| 0xbcec2dfc… | $-5.5k | $18.3k | -30.1% |
| 0x1567cfbb… | $-5.48k | $39.1k | -14.0% |
| 0x9bf22299… | $-4.92k | $9.9k | -49.8% |
| 0x30301544… | $4.69k | $7.72k | 60.7% |
| 0x54d63713… | $-4.46k | $26.2k | -17.0% |
| 0x10f410f2… | $4.16k | $3.05k | 136.2% |