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0x880b…c98b
0x880b1fc5d3beb01c237f0848b249fd72b48fc98b
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 8763 with median hold 0.5 hours, maker share only 17%.
Capital velocity 1.5 and held-to-resolution 91% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:06:11 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$11.1k
Open PnL
$-706k
Max drawdown
$153k
Underwater days
64
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $60.6k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $16.9k | $56.6k | $176k | $938k |
| Win rate | 67% | 82% | 83% | 73% |
| ROI | 62% | 74% | 61% | 47% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.385 | 0.081 | 0.006 |
| Markets | 9 | 29 | 133 | 554 |
| Best day | $-1.72k | $12.6k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 4.41 | 7.20 | 4.64 | 2.75 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.88k | $2.57k | $1.98k | $2.47k |
| Median trade PnL | $973 | $2.35k | $1.12k | $1.08k |
| Payoff ratio | 2.21 | 1.60 | 0.94 | 1.02 |
| Largest win | $8.09k | $10.2k | $16.3k | $61.3k |
| Largest loss | $-3.31k | $-4.17k | $-11.5k | $-50.7k |
| Expectancy | $1.88k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $6.58k | $8.52k | $16.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.319 | 0.069 | 0.006 |
| Calmar | 0.085 | 0.085 | 0.085 | 0.085 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 63.5 | 63.5 | 63.5 | 63.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 38% | 14% | 7% | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | 99% | 56% | 27% | 16% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 85% | 44% | 23% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 8 | 16 | 16 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 94 | 276 | 1592 | 8763 |
| Unique markets | 9 | 29 | 133 | 554 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 87% | 66% |
| Avg entry price | 0.514 | 0.515 | 0.472 | 0.431 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.185 | 0.056 | 0.017 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Max concurrent | 9 | 27 | 127 | 504 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.85 | 0.92 | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| Add-to-winner share | 83% | 81% | 72% | 74% |
| Average-down share | 17% | 17% | 24% | 23% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.49 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 97% | 97% | 91% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2282 | 0.2287 | 0.2294 | 0.2303 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2689 | 0.2501 | 0.2291 | 0.2188 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.961 | 0.957 | 0.902 | 0.839 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 | $27 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | 1.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1343 | 0.1343 | 0.1343 | 0.1343 |
| Alpha ($) | $-262 | $-262 | $-262 | $-262 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -24.0% | -24.0% | -24.0% | -24.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.169 | 0.169 | 0.169 | 0.169 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.1843 | 0.1843 | 0.1843 | 0.1843 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 75.3%
- News Sniper: 57.9%
- Conviction Holder: 38.5%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%
- Tilted Gambler: 33.8%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 5.53e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x07417133c1… entry 0.110 timing 0.98
- 0x2df6cd80af… entry 0.140 timing 0.99
- 0x3923a58add… entry 0.230 timing 0.99
- 0x1cb336c6a2… entry 0.250 timing 0.96