
0x8795bcb2fe129d1ea3e3d73bc13a3d8078047544
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 12.49 and disposition ratio 1.34, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 86.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:09:11 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $839k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 62% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 12% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.075 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.46 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2.85k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $260 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.48 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $115k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-143k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $19.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.079 | 0.079 | 0.079 | 0.068 |
| Calmar | 2.252 | 2.252 | 2.252 | 2.252 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 104.0 | 104.0 | 104.0 | 104.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 31% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 25 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 25 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17123 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 63% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.455 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.021 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 62% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 219.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 35.5 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 142 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.34 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 79% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0961 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1375 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.646 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-62 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5.7% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0347 | -0.0347 | -0.0347 | -0.0347 |
| Alpha ($) | $-509k | $-509k | $-509k | $-509k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -872.9% | -872.9% | -872.9% | -872.9% |
| Contrarian score | -0.035 | -0.035 | -0.035 | -0.035 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0130 | -0.0130 | -0.0130 | -0.0130 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 9.13e-29; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $0 |
| $202k |
| Worst day | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-258k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| N/A |
| $2.85k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 26% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 54% | 8% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 70% | 17% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 80% | 41% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 78% | 32% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 23% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0059 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17123.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.72 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $466 |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $24 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -66.32 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 12.49 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Politics | $462k | 72% | 89 |
| Global Elections | $320k | 48% | 60 |
| Elections | $147k | 79% | 19 |
| Culture | $116k | 69% | 26 |
| Biden | $77.7k | 88% | 8 |
| Romania | $-74.8k | 36% | 14 |
| nyc | $63.5k | 100% | 5 |
| South Korea | $60.8k | 80% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | $-59.3k | 67% | 18 |
| Canada | $-50.6k | 17% | 6 |
| German Election | $46.3k | 75% | 12 |
| NYC Mayor | $43.1k | 71% | 17 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5fc28bfc… | $-143k | $236k | -60.7% |
| 0x27fa002b… | $115k | $166k | 69.0% |
| 0x6220c416… | $113k | $128k | 88.2% |
| 0x5ce0d897… | $97.4k | $103k | 95.0% |
| 0x87822b3d… | $91.3k | $172k | 53.1% |
| 0xaeb190c9… | $89.5k | $268k | 33.4% |
| 0x26ed2c7b… | $87.1k | $161k | 54.2% |
| 0xea17b128… | $77.2k | $140k | 55.1% |
| 0x244c75b2… | $73.9k | $169k | 43.8% |
| 0x546ec332… | $69.3k | $22.5k | 308.1% |
| 0xaf51603d… | $-65.4k | $246k | -26.6% |
| 0x7f398088… | $-63.2k | $63.2k | -100.0% |
| 0xc15a24d1… | $62k | $120k | 51.9% |
| 0xa6385774… | $61.5k | $124k | 49.7% |
| 0x17414b56… | $58.5k | $175k | 33.5% |
| 3502 |
| 3502 |
| 3502 |
| 3502 |