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0x8660…93ed
0x866056133a70de9282a080758858d1a0c8b393ed
Tilted GamblerGrade Carchetypes-v1
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 4.36 and disposition ratio 0.62, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 146.5), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:05:40 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-270k
Open PnL
$-1.04M
Max drawdown
$327k
Underwater days
51
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $23.9k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $30.6k | $118k | $505k | $767k |
| Win rate | 100% | 92% | 92% | 91% |
| ROI | 76% | 66% | 62% | 58% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.213 | -0.020 | -0.126 |
| Markets | 2 | 22 | 90 | 167 |
| Best day | $23.9k | $23.9k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 10.53 | 18.31 | 7.31 |
| Mean trade PnL | $15.3k | $9.05k | $6.39k | $7.1k |
| Median trade PnL | $15.3k | $6.46k | $285 | $633 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.88 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Largest win | $24.2k | $25.7k | $50.6k | $93.4k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-12.3k | $-13k | $-60.8k |
| Expectancy | $15.3k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $27.5k | $26.4k | $43k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.131 | -0.021 | -0.126 |
| Calmar | -0.860 | -0.860 | -0.860 | -0.860 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 50.5 | 50.5 | 50.5 | 50.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 79% | 18% | 9% | 9% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 76% | 36% | 31% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 99% | 57% | 48% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 108 | 853 | 3411 | 6249 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 22 | 90 | 167 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 93% | 94% |
| Avg entry price | 0.560 | 0.534 | 0.516 | 0.535 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.997 | 0.080 | 0.021 | 0.016 |
| Maker share (notional) | 88% | 73% | 69% | 61% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 6.4 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 13.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 8.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 6 | 28 | 72 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 7.79 | 2.86 | 0.62 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 60% | 61% | 53% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 25% | 29% | 41% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1853 | 0.1972 | 0.1713 | 0.1888 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1919 | 0.2484 | 0.1789 | 0.1915 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.951 | 0.895 | 0.813 | 0.731 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $206 | $150 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0344 | 0.0344 | 0.0344 | 0.0344 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.91k | $-2.91k | $-2.91k | $-2.91k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -35.5% | -35.5% | -35.5% | -35.5% |
| Contrarian score | -0.158 | -0.158 | -0.158 | -0.158 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0957 | 0.0957 | 0.0957 | 0.0957 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- Scalper: 63.5%
- News Sniper: 51.1%
- Favorite Grinder: 43.4%
- Contrarian Fader: 32.5%