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0x8488ef25f79c0cf2ffdff307973b2ac10464588c
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 3.57 and disposition ratio 0.83, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 40.6), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:05:25 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $16.3k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $17.8k | $11.4k | $-95k | $-31.1k |
| Win rate | 60% | 53% | 49% | 47% |
| ROI | 96% | 14% | -24% | -3% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.203 | -0.319 | -0.058 |
| Markets | 7 | 36 | 96 | 1455 |
| Best day | $18.4k | $18.4k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 9.52 | 1.34 | 0.56 | 0.93 |
| Mean trade PnL | $3.56k | $381 | $-913 | $-124 |
| Median trade PnL | $1.17k | $5 | $-53 | $-58 |
| Payoff ratio | 6.35 | 1.17 | 0.59 | 1.04 |
| Largest win | $13.1k | $13.1k | $13.1k | $14.2k |
| Largest loss | $-1.5k | $-14.8k | $-14.8k | $-19.3k |
| Expectancy | $3.56k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $10.8k | $10.7k | $5.25k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.191 | -0.272 | -0.052 |
| Calmar | -0.732 | -0.732 | -0.732 | -0.732 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 25.5 | 25.5 | 25.5 | 25.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 60% | 19% | 4% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 62% | 21% | 9% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 82% | 41% | 16% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 32 | 239 | 925 | 10854 |
| Unique markets | 7 | 36 | 96 | 1455 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 103% | 82% |
| Avg entry price | 0.454 | 0.481 | 0.465 | 0.495 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.395 | 0.090 | 0.030 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 2% | 26% | 30% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 7.5 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 17.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | 7.6 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| Max concurrent | 7 | 35 | 87 | 1050 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.17 | 0.78 | 0.83 |
| Add-to-winner share | 8% | 24% | 35% | 38% |
| Average-down share | 64% | 33% | 33% | 29% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.26 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 96% | 89% | 71% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2805 | 0.2332 | 0.2144 | 0.2078 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3019 | 0.2502 | 0.2073 | 0.1960 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.845 | 0.736 | 0.571 | 0.738 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $-0 | $123 | $87 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | -0.0% | 0.0% | 1.6% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0405 | -0.0405 | -0.0405 | -0.0405 |
| Alpha ($) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Contrarian score | 0.182 | 0.182 | 0.182 | 0.182 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0018 | 0.0018 | 0.0018 | 0.0018 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 33 |
Joint probability 2.57e-4; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $18.4k |
| $21.8k |
| Worst day | $18.4k | $-15.3k | $-28.6k | $-28.6k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $381 |
| $-913 |
| $-124 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 50% | 50% | 31% | 22% | 10% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 67% | 53% | 51% | 51% | 56% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 60% | 77% | 80% | 33% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| 15% |
| 4% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | 0.0010 | -0.0001 |
| Inventory turnover | 32.00 | 239.00 | 925.00 | 10854.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.17 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.68 |
| Avg ticket | $679 | $355 | $445 | $178 |
| Median ticket | $470 | $149 | $51 | $18 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -16.00 | 7.38 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 1.25 |
| 1.94 |
| 3.57 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-51.1k | 46% | 195 |
| Esports | $20.1k | 54% | 54 |
| Pandemics | $-18 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe734ab11… | $-19.3k | $19.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x3ce79b30… | $-14.8k | $14.8k | -100.0% |
| 0x6aff3fc2… | $-14.7k | $14.7k | -100.0% |
| 0xe6906202… | $-14.7k | $14.7k | -100.0% |
| 0x94e50623… | $-14.5k | $14.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x1bd449e1… | $-14.4k | $14.4k | -100.0% |
| 0xa111a9dd… | $-14.3k | $14.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x0445ea2c… | $14.2k | $6.83k | 207.6% |
| 0xa75053ff… | $-13.6k | $13.6k | -100.0% |
| 0x597e0e20… | $-13.5k | $26k | -51.9% |
| 0x32552863… | $-13.5k | $13.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x88a7e647… | $13.1k | $11.7k | 112.7% |
| 0xcada7631… | $-12.9k | $12.9k | -100.0% |
| 0x40b79a54… | $-12.8k | $12.8k | -100.0% |
| 0x8b9176d2… | $12.6k | $5.4k | 233.3% |
| 33 |
| 33 |
| 33 |