0x83ab…06df

0x83ab43a70eecf43077991aded14db9b24a4e06df

Tilted GamblerGrade Carchetypes-v1

Secondary: Conviction Holder

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 3.88 and disposition ratio 0.43, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 208.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

A close second label is Conviction Holder, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 11:58:46 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$83.7k

Open PnL

$-388

Max drawdown

$8.64k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	$57.3k	N/A
Realized PnL	$0	$0	$84.1k	$84.1k
Win rate	N/A	N/A	25%	30%
ROI	N/A	N/A	62%	62%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	N/A	0.229	0.211
Markets	0	0	8	11
Best day	$0	$0

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	9.81	9.80
Mean trade PnL	N/A	N/A	$10.5k	$8.41k
Median trade PnL	N/A	N/A	$-344	$-142
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	29.44	22.87
Largest win	N/A	N/A	$57.3k	$57.3k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	$-7.1k	$-7.1k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	$12.2k	$11.3k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	N/A	0.550	0.665
Calmar	9.684	9.684	9.684	9.684
Drawdown duration (days)	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	N/A	56%	55%
Concentration top-5	N/A	N/A	99%	99%
Concentration top-10	N/A	N/A	100%	100%
Max win streak	N/A	N/A	1	1
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	5	5

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	0	54	58
Unique markets	0	0	8	11
Active days ratio	N/A	N/A	33%	33%
Avg entry price	N/A	N/A	0.712	0.712
Portfolio HHI	N/A	N/A	0.479	0.478
Maker share (notional)	N/A	N/A	61%	61%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	N/A	1.4	2.0
Holding time median (h)	N/A	N/A	1.1	1.1
Max concurrent	N/A	N/A	5	8
Disposition ratio	N/A	N/A	0.44	0.43
Add-to-winner share	N/A	N/A	100%	100%
Average-down share	N/A	N/A	0%	0%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	N/A	63%	73%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	N/A	0.2006	0.2006
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	N/A	0.2181	0.2331
Entry timing mean	N/A	N/A	0.997	0.997
Exit quality ($)	N/A	N/A	$-2.96k	$-2.37k
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	N/A	-26.6%	-21.7%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0003	0.0003	0.0003	0.0003
Alpha ($)	$-18.9k	$-18.9k	$-18.9k	$-18.9k
Alpha ROI gap	-34.7%	-34.7%	-34.7%	-34.7%
Contrarian score	0.672	0.672	0.672	0.672
Post-fill drift	0.1038	0.1038	0.1038	0.1038
Post-fill candles (mean)	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
Conviction Holder: 66.1%
News Sniper: 63.6%
Longshot Hunter: 41.3%
Scalper: 37.8%

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0x83ab…06df

0x83ab43a70eecf43077991aded14db9b24a4e06df

Tilted GamblerGrade Carchetypes-v1

Secondary: Conviction Holder

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 3.88 and disposition ratio 0.43, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 208.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

A close second label is Conviction Holder, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$57.3k

N/A

Realized PnL

$84.1k

Win rate

N/A

25%

30%

ROI

N/A

62%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.229

0.211

Markets

Best day

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

9.81

9.80

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$10.5k

$8.41k

Median trade PnL

N/A

$-344

$-142

Payoff ratio

N/A

29.44

22.87

Largest win

N/A

$57.3k

Largest loss

N/A

$-7.1k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$12.2k

$11.3k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.550

0.665

Calmar

9.684

Drawdown duration (days)

14.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

56%

55%

Concentration top-5

N/A

99%

Concentration top-10

N/A

100%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

Unique markets

Active days ratio

N/A

33%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.712

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.479

0.478

Maker share (notional)

N/A

61%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

1.4

2.0

Holding time median (h)

N/A

1.1

Max concurrent

N/A

Disposition ratio

N/A

0.44

0.43

Add-to-winner share

N/A

100%

Average-down share

N/A

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

63%

73%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.2006

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.2181

0.2331

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.997

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$-2.96k

$-2.37k

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

-26.6%

-21.7%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0003

Alpha ($)

$-18.9k

Alpha ROI gap

-34.7%

Contrarian score

0.672

Post-fill drift

0.1038

Post-fill candles (mean)

4.0

Post-fill observations

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xa947b7c6…	$57.3k	$74.6k	76.8%
0xde92d563…	$36.4k	$49.3k	73.7%
0x65c75228…	$-7.1k	$10k	-71.0%
0xd9a23115…	$-1k	$1k	-100.0%
0x55aa8489…	$-657	$666	-98.7%
0x7f631610…	$-500	$500	-100.0%
0xcaaa1338…	$-189	$189	-100.0%
0x28c19c84…	$-96	$100	-95.8%
0x6bb8b248…	$51	$20	253.6%
0x51fc7cfd…	$-20	$20	-100.0%

0x83ab…06df

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

0x83ab…06df

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)

Fills per week