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0x80be724a3511017be131fdcd188296128fea7ee7
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 8 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 1.00 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 0.0 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:58:36 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.71k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $7.59k | $21.4k | $30k | $62.7k |
| Win rate | 88% | 84% | 81% | 79% |
| ROI | 74% | 80% | 80% | 64% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.134 | 0.217 | -0.066 |
| Markets | 65 | 151 | 290 | 528 |
| Best day | $774 | $1.19k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 18.55 | 15.83 | 13.72 | 8.15 |
| Mean trade PnL | $223 | $258 | $216 | $218 |
| Median trade PnL | $180 | $214 | $136 | $111 |
| Payoff ratio | 2.47 | 2.94 | 3.31 | 2.11 |
| Largest win | $1.24k | $1.24k | $1.45k | $2.24k |
| Largest loss | $-187 | $-324 | $-324 | $-1.78k |
| Expectancy | $223 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $452 | $627 | $1.1k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.074 | -0.020 |
| Calmar | -0.389 | -0.389 | -0.389 | -0.389 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 93.5 | 93.5 | 93.5 | 93.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 15% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Concentration top-5 | 42% | 22% | 18% | 12% |
| Concentration top-10 | 62% | 37% | 30% | 22% |
| Max win streak | 10 | 11 | 19 | 19 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 570 | 1961 | 3244 | 3840 |
| Unique markets | 65 | 151 | 290 | 528 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 100% | 29% |
| Avg entry price | 0.481 | 0.478 | 0.430 | 0.475 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.040 | 0.016 | 0.010 | 0.008 |
| Maker share (notional) | 44% | 46% | 44% | 18% |
| Two-sided share | 2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 42 | 88 | 173 | 313 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.22 | 0.64 | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| Add-to-winner share | 86% | 77% | 80% | 67% |
| Average-down share | 14% | 22% | 18% | 32% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.76 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 65% | 57% | 57% | 50% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2368 | 0.2682 | 0.2662 | 0.2340 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2537 | 0.2733 | 0.2706 | 0.2461 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.997 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-25 | $-59 | $-23 | $-20 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -8.0% | -17.6% | -8.2% | -6.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1054 | 0.1054 | 0.1054 | 0.1054 |
| Alpha ($) | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Contrarian score | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Post-fill drift | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill observations | N/A |
Joint probability 3.52e-6; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $1.19k |
| $1.95k |
| Worst day | $774 | $-8 | $-2.56k | $-8.15k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $258 |
| $216 |
| $218 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 75% | 68% | 60% | 8% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 85% | 87% | 86% | 85% | 85% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 96% | 6% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | -0.0362 | 0.0017 | 0.0018 | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 570.00 | 1961.00 | 3244.00 | 3840.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.50 | 2.73 | 3.01 | 2.82 |
| Avg ticket | $45 | $37 | $35 | $72 |
| Median ticket | $10 | $6 | $6 | $9 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -206.00 | 68.15 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2.55 |
| 1.73 |
| 1.99 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Up or Down | $58k | 81% | 262 |
| Sports | $4.27k | 57% | 23 |
| Bitcoin | $413 | 100% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa8016319… | $2.24k | $3.2k | 70.1% |
| 0x72639e52… | $2.21k | $2.65k | 83.3% |
| 0x8f3d5f6c… | $1.87k | $2.4k | 77.8% |
| 0x627e12f3… | $-1.78k | $2k | -88.9% |
| 0xb30f084b… | $1.78k | $2k | 88.9% |
| 0x0e90f030… | $-1.66k | $2k | -83.0% |
| 0x5a88b729… | $1.63k | $1.9k | 85.7% |
| 0xf35d4db8… | $1.62k | $2.27k | 71.6% |
| 0x3da38e9a… | $1.57k | $1.98k | 79.6% |
| 0xa949336a… | $1.45k | $591 | 244.8% |
| 0x9220f304… | $1.38k | $1.3k | 106.1% |
| 0xcc560007… | $1.28k | $1.5k | 85.6% |
| 0x8249dc8b… | $1.26k | $1.33k | 95.0% |
| 0x30ee9890… | $1.25k | $1.58k | 79.1% |
| 0xa8f80015… | $1.25k | $1.48k | 83.9% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |