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0x7c3d…5c6b
0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.30 and disposition ratio 7.91, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 783.2), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:14:38 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$1.48M
Open PnL
$-2.91k
Max drawdown
$59.7k
Underwater days
64
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $2.66k | N/A | N/A | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $2.77k | $10.9k | $36.2k | $133k |
| Win rate | 71% | 68% | 60% | 61% |
| ROI | 53% | 13% | 2% | 3% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.094 | 0.178 | 0.283 |
| Markets | 13 | 540 | 677 | 1371 |
| Best day | $1.22k | $1.22k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 147.22 | 3.29 | 1.72 | 2.20 |
| Mean trade PnL | $395 | $184 | $108 | $333 |
| Median trade PnL | $120 | $10 | $14 | $18 |
| Payoff ratio | 58.89 | 1.56 | 1.13 | 1.41 |
| Largest win | $1.71k | $6.16k | $11.3k | $79.5k |
| Largest loss | $-13 | $-930 | $-7.34k | $-34.1k |
| Expectancy | $395 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.37k | $2.96k | $7.76k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.449 | -0.064 | 0.229 | 0.378 |
| Calmar | 22.034 | 22.034 | 22.034 | 22.034 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 65.0 | 65.0 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 61% | 30% | 12% | 32% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 62% | 30% | 56% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 78% | 45% | 65% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 13 | 18 | 18 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 28 | 1082 | 3331 | 32500 |
| Unique markets | 13 | 540 | 677 | 1371 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 105% | 67% |
| Avg entry price | 0.149 | 0.222 | 0.440 | 0.559 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.147 | 0.169 | 0.178 | 0.022 |
| Maker share (notional) | 36% | 45% | 58% | 64% |
| Two-sided share | 8% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.1 | 28.3 | 39.7 | 195.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.2 | 23.2 | 15.5 | 17.9 |
| Max concurrent | 8 | 514 | 615 | 1152 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.05 | 1.23 | 7.91 |
| Add-to-winner share | 78% | 76% | 71% | 68% |
| Average-down share | 11% | 21% | 24% | 27% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.95 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 57% | 62% | 66% | 74% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1878 | 0.0568 | 0.0147 | 0.0100 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2642 | 0.1151 | 0.1085 | 0.1024 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.347 | 0.543 | 0.504 | 0.429 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-60 | $-48 | $132 | $295 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -8.0% | 16.8% | 29.4% | 45.1% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0479 | -0.0479 | -0.0479 | -0.0479 |
| Alpha ($) | $-13.1k | $-13.1k | $-13.1k | $-13.1k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -99.4% | -99.4% | -99.4% | -99.4% |
| Contrarian score | 0.322 | 0.322 | 0.322 | 0.322 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0073 | -0.0073 | -0.0073 | -0.0073 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 86.0%
- Favorite Grinder: 60.0%
- Scalper: 51.9%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 49.3%
- News Sniper: 34.6%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 1.13e-27; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xaeec5d8d21… entry 0.180
- 0xa43e21ce35… entry 0.201 timing 0.66
- 0xfa70d7850d… entry 0.095
- 0xe6bcc2f1dd… entry 0.118 timing 0.30
- 0x26ebe9f65b… entry 0.220 timing 0.59
- 0x5efa976ebe… entry 0.087 timing 0.05
- 0xce6f2c7437… entry 0.250
- 0x6432e0721d… entry 0.191
- 0x1b5e5ebc0c… entry 0.098
- 0xb0b4220af7… entry 0.057
- 0x1aee5eb0c1… entry 0.189
- 0xcb2129edfb… entry 0.022
- 0x9c11bbbe67… entry 0.039
- 0xc507d8a325… entry 0.013
- 0x2b4abd4c4f… entry 0.223
- 0xfa40932295… entry 0.295
- 0xc7373d242a… entry 0.009 timing 0.15
- 0x291ff8aa0b… entry 0.135 timing 0.15
- 0x68fbeb8d82… entry 0.042
- 0xc17c0b2fba… entry 0.196