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0x7b10…acab · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News
0x7b10…acab
0x7b1036b62136cad4ac4b86668c3dcb9e84e2acab
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 2122 with median hold 2.0 hours, maker share only 10%.
Capital velocity 1.1 and held-to-resolution 91% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:54:59 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $52.2k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.92k | $5.68k | $99.5k | $141k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 61% | 60% |
| ROI | 44% | 44% | 19% | 12% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.013 | 0.377 | 0.114 |
| Markets | 9 | 18 | 239 | 758 |
| Best day | $259 | $858 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 1.73 | 1.40 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.92k | $947 | $418 | $186 |
| Median trade PnL | $1.92k | $861 | $173 | $22 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 1.09 | 0.94 |
| Largest win | $1.92k | $1.92k | $17.7k | $21.5k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-9.48k | $-16.4k |
| Expectancy | $1.92k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.04k | $7.6k | $3.76k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.265 | 0.096 |
| Calmar | 3.543 | 3.543 | 3.543 | 3.543 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 48.0 | 48.0 | 48.0 | 48.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 34% | 5% | 3% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 16% | 10% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 26% | 16% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 6 | 17 | 52 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 24 | 80 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 69 | 101 | 884 | 2122 |
| Unique markets | 9 | 18 | 239 | 758 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 120% | 97% | 55% |
| Avg entry price | 0.292 | 0.417 | 0.510 | 0.495 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.261 | 0.123 | 0.012 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 34% | 23% | 11% | 10% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 15.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Max concurrent | 8 | 15 | 218 | 695 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.63 | 0.10 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| Add-to-winner share | 36% | 53% | 49% | 56% |
| Average-down share | 55% | 40% | 37% | 28% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 88% | 90% | 91% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0948 | 0.0988 | 0.1583 | 0.1706 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0948 | 0.1802 | 0.1930 | 0.2063 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.982 | 0.810 | 0.619 | 0.608 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-22 | $-26 | $4 | $-4 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.5% | -17.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1028 | 0.1028 | 0.1028 | 0.1028 |
| Alpha ($) | $-125 | $-125 | $-125 | $-125 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -12.9% | -12.9% | -12.9% | -12.9% |
| Contrarian score | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.019 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.1044 | 0.1044 | 0.1044 | 0.1044 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 66.8%
- News Sniper: 60.1%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 41.7%
- Tilted Gambler: 37.9%
- Conviction Holder: 34.1%
| Worst day | $259 | $-2.27k | $-18.5k | $-18.5k |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 65% | 59% | 35% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 79% | 79% | 42% |
| Spread capture | -0.0011 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 69.00 | 101.00 | 884.00 | 2122.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.48 | 1.66 | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| Avg ticket | $157 | $215 | $628 | $575 |
| Median ticket | $33 | $33 | $76 | $71 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -42.40 | 3.96 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $124k | 59% | 681 |
| Tennis | $17.5k | 60% | 67 |
| Games | $-390 | 0% | 1 |
| Nate Diaz | $40 | 100% | 1 |
| Trump | $24 | 100% | 1 |
| Business | $20 | 100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | $-9 | 50% | 2 |
| Culture | $1 | 100% | 1 |
| Politics | $1 | 100% | 1 |
| Up or Down | $0 | 100% | 1 |
| Parent For Derivative | $0 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x2fa28ee7… | $17.7k | $4.33k | 407.8% |
| 0xcc5ffe6f… | $17.2k | $5.7k | 301.4% |
| 0x99e70457… | $-16.4k | $16.5k | -99.4% |
| 0xb4564518… | $12.6k | $2.05k | 614.3% |
| 0x0923f4cd… | $11.4k | $10.9k | 105.1% |
| 0x5c0a2b28… | $10.8k | $4.65k | 233.3% |
| 0x3c995fa8… | $9.52k | $18.5k | 51.5% |
| 0x52f86240… | $-9.48k | $9.48k | -100.0% |
| 0x5e797ecd… | $-9.25k | $9.25k | -100.0% |
| 0xdf9b5fe5… | $-8.49k | $8.49k | -100.0% |
| 0x07b86be2… | $-8.32k | $8.32k | -100.0% |
| 0xacb0eed7… | $8.19k | $2.59k | 316.7% |
| 0x019e74af… | $-8.17k | $8.17k | -100.0% |
| 0x78978df0… | $-8.11k | $8.11k | -100.0% |
| 0xcc7b86a3… | $-8.03k | $8.03k | -100.0% |
0xf555517539… entry 0.1000x25e4666d5d… entry 0.195 timing 0.050x48fc8b1c7f… entry 0.0200x4ad0332fe8… entry 0.070 timing 0.570x6d8082cb05… entry 0.1800x7f53094815… entry 0.2900x6f2d4e4123… entry 0.2640xfe1e55b0a6… entry 0.2500x9d6247ce47… entry 0.2500xd563e3b6b9… entry 0.2100xe19df6490e… entry 0.260