0x7b0b3850eb4a00289a6e00097bc4daeec39cc3df
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.96 and disposition ratio 0.09, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 241.5), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:55:10 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $38.5k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $12.9k | $38k | $39.2k |
| Win rate | N/A | 42% | 34% | 35% |
| ROI | N/A | 29% | 54% | 19% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.266 | 0.264 | 0.095 |
| Markets | 2 | 29 | 37 | 202 |
| Best day | N/A | $13.1k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 95.16 | 85.99 | 4.67 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $538 | $810 | $173 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $-3 | $-2 | $-2 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 133.23 | 166.61 | 8.64 |
| Largest win | N/A | $7.37k | $8.8k | $8.8k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-42 | $-165 | $-2.64k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $5.38k | $1.97k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.707 | 28.210 | 0.688 |
| Calmar | 12.209 | 12.209 | 12.209 | 12.209 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 97.0 | 97.0 | 97.0 | 97.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 57% | 23% | 15% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 99% | 92% | 60% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 99% | 74% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 12 | 20 | 22 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 37 | 664 | 1140 | 11486 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 29 | 37 | 202 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 117% | 60% | 53% |
| Avg entry price | 0.077 | 0.060 | 0.019 | 0.014 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.882 | 0.144 | 0.132 | 0.043 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 73% | 73% | 66% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 12.7 | 7.2 | 13.1 | 521.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 18.7 | 0.2 | 5.7 | 72.2 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 11 | 18 | 123 |
| Disposition ratio | 9.95 | 34.68 | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 77% | 75% | 68% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 22% | 23% | 28% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 88% | 65% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0685 | 0.0994 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0494 | 0.0769 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.769 | 0.630 | 0.631 | 0.753 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $100 | $369 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | -3.0% | 14.9% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1226 | -0.1226 | -0.1226 | -0.1226 |
| Alpha ($) | $-4 | $-4 | $-4 | $-4 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -8.6% | -8.6% | -8.6% | -8.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.137 | -0.137 | -0.137 | -0.137 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0882 | -0.0882 | -0.0882 | -0.0882 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 2.59e-4; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $25.2k |
| $25.2k |
| Worst day | N/A | $-41 | $-179 | $-2.03k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $538 |
| $810 |
| $173 |
| <0.10 |
| 100% |
| 52% |
| 31% |
| 26% |
| 37% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 0% | 23% | 6% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 75% | 57% | 22% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 59% | 11% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 0% | 0% | 69% | 24% |
| 14% |
| 14% |
| 6% |
| Spread capture | N/A | -0.0611 | -0.0277 | -0.0111 |
| Inventory turnover | 37.00 | 664.00 | 1140.00 | 11486.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.71 | 2.52 | 2.48 | 1.77 |
| Avg ticket | $69 | $249 | $153 | $31 |
| Median ticket | $26 | $100 | $37 | $1 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 68.00 | 26.14 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 0.54 |
| 0.56 |
| 2.96 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $24.9k | 36% | 64 |
| Awards | $12.9k | 42% | 24 |
| Crypto | $2.34k | 43% | 23 |
| Economy | $-1.95k | 50% | 2 |
| Iran | $1.78k | 75% | 4 |
| NFL Playoffs | $1.22k | 50% | 2 |
| MrBeast | $1.15k | 25% | 4 |
| FDV | $-959 | 21% | 14 |
| Culture | $-763 | 5% | 19 |
| Geopolitics | $740 | 75% | 4 |
| Ranger | $656 | 75% | 4 |
| Up or Down | $-570 | 0% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6eec2b6b… | $8.8k | $6.42k | 137.2% |
| 0x720e7267… | $7.56k | $11.5k | 65.7% |
| 0x1c373746… | $7.35k | $4.51k | 162.9% |
| 0x696576c9… | $6.96k | $7.84k | 88.8% |
| 0xae76ef04… | $5.33k | $6.21k | 85.8% |
| 0x3733a1b6… | $-2.64k | $3.5k | -75.5% |
| 0x67a229c7… | $1.84k | $1.1k | 167.2% |
| 0x98998bc9… | $1.77k | $213 | 831.3% |
| 0xd86a8160… | $1.42k | $14.1k | 10.1% |
| 0x173550a8… | $1.22k | $2.56k | 47.7% |
| 0xa21b7cf4… | $1.18k | $119 | 984.5% |
| 0xe5c04e52… | $960 | $3.81k | 25.2% |
| 0x778fc8bb… | $-875 | $1.17k | -74.8% |
| 0x8e7a03cb… | $686 | $359 | 191.2% |
| 0x4c5701bc… | $636 | $2.46k | 25.9% |
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