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0x7b02…4991
0x7b02b2bac2a30ed5e40b7094e734f4c3dc2a4991
Tilted GamblerGrade Darchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 6.28 and disposition ratio 0.55, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 805.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:55:08 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$491k
Open PnL
$-491k
Max drawdown
$436k
Underwater days
43
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.84k | N/A | $50.2k | $491k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $-99.7k | $-272k | $394k |
| Win rate | N/A | 50% | 43% | 54% |
| ROI | N/A | -12% | -19% | 3% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.144 | 0.017 | 0.063 |
| Markets | 0 | 4 | 7 | 107 |
| Best day | $1.64k | $233k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 0.40 | 0.20 | 1.36 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $-24.9k | $-38.9k | $3.37k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $-30.1k | $-23.3k | $28 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.40 | 0.26 | 1.16 |
| Largest win | N/A | $63.1k | $63.1k | $304k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-103k | $-150k | $-150k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $180k | $91.2k | $46.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.118 | 0.014 | 0.062 |
| Calmar | 1.143 | 1.143 | 1.143 | 1.143 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 44% | 52% | 12% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 42% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 61% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 448 | 935 | 10902 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 4 | 7 | 107 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 100% | 80% | 70% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.516 | 0.471 | 0.507 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 0.413 | 0.276 | 0.056 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 14% | 31% | 53% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 11.3 | 203.2 | 220.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 8.8 | 234.5 | 111.2 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 4 | 6 | 77 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 21.71 | 0.81 | 0.55 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 67% | 94% | 78% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 11% | 6% | 21% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 100% | 68% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.1225 | 0.1192 | 0.0407 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1225 | 0.0950 | 0.0694 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.889 | 0.849 | 0.603 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-14k | $-7.01k | $8.99k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -43.1% | -21.5% | 40.8% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.2249 | -0.2249 | -0.2249 | -0.2249 |
| Alpha ($) | $-15.6k | $-15.6k | $-15.6k | $-15.6k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -59.5% | -59.5% | -59.5% | -59.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.305 | 0.305 | 0.305 | 0.305 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0014 | -0.0014 | -0.0014 | -0.0014 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- Favorite Grinder: 56.9%
- Conviction Holder: 45.2%
- Scalper: 42.6%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 33.8%