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0x7447…a16d
0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.71 and disposition ratio 0.95, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 305.3), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:53:04 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$469k
Open PnL
$-258k
Max drawdown
$173k
Underwater days
259
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $122k | $121k | $472k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $9.71k | $-25.5k | $785k |
| Win rate | N/A | 67% | 58% | 59% |
| ROI | N/A | 15% | -2% | 19% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.419 | 0.260 | 0.070 |
| Markets | 10 | 39 | 133 | 527 |
| Best day | N/A | $58.6k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 2.20 | 0.90 | 2.21 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $1.62k | $-263 | $1.86k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $1.11k | $43 | $79 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 1.10 | 0.64 | 1.52 |
| Largest win | N/A | $11k | $29.1k | $522k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-7.96k | $-42.6k | $-42.6k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $18.6k | $22.2k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 134.903 | 0.373 | 0.185 |
| Calmar | 2.716 | 2.716 | 2.716 | 2.716 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 260.0 | 260.0 | 260.0 | 260.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 73% | 9% | 25% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 40% | 33% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 59% | 41% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 59 | 281 | 2232 | 20822 |
| Unique markets | 10 | 39 | 133 | 527 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 85% |
| Avg entry price | 0.264 | 0.180 | 0.296 | 0.216 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.165 | 0.097 | 0.029 | 0.016 |
| Maker share (notional) | 51% | 28% | 31% | 39% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 32.4 | 63.8 | 144.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 30.1 | 31.0 | 28.4 |
| Max concurrent | 9 | 32 | 105 | 380 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.19 | 2.17 | 0.95 |
| Add-to-winner share | 4% | 82% | 68% | 63% |
| Average-down share | 92% | 8% | 27% | 36% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 60% | 74% | 65% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0770 | 0.1860 | 0.1476 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1852 | 0.1223 | 0.1495 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.403 | 0.506 | 0.541 | 0.595 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-2.94k | $914 | $-944 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 9961.5% | 1376.5% | 292.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1061 | -0.1061 | -0.1061 | -0.1061 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.37k | $-2.37k | $-2.37k | $-2.37k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -47.2% | -47.2% | -47.2% | -47.2% |
| Contrarian score | -0.126 | -0.126 | -0.126 | -0.126 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0055 | -0.0055 | -0.0055 | -0.0055 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 64.3%
- Scalper: 56.7%
- Contrarian Fader: 36.8%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 32.6%
- News Sniper: 32.0%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 2.42e-16; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x99067da61a… entry 0.017 timing 1.00
- 0x747dc809fb… entry 0.130 timing 0.43
- 0xace3c72c24… entry 0.080 timing 0.17
- 0xf0abc9c2b0… entry 0.093 timing 0.07
- 0xbd60361789… entry 0.005 timing 0.34
- 0x139bc939a9… entry 0.136 timing 0.43
- 0xb9ab7fbd72… entry 0.084 timing 0.22
- 0xf005ddced6… entry 0.027 timing 0.95
- 0xdfd3d267e9… entry 0.260 timing 0.90
- 0xebddfcf7b4… entry 0.054 timing 0.98
- 0x4919a6cbcd… entry 0.044 timing 0.61
- 0x0223472ec2… entry 0.281