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0x6e82…752c
0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752c
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 13239 with median hold 0.5 hours, maker share only 9%.
Capital velocity 1.3 and held-to-resolution 93% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:52:58 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$1.33M
Open PnL
$-2.53M
Max drawdown
$379k
Underwater days
121
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $3.87k | $136k | $297k | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $3.03k | $269k | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 93% | 76% |
| ROI | N/A | 113% | 62% | 38% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | ∞ | 0.485 | 0.104 |
| Markets | 1 | 5 | 36 | 1481 |
| Best day | N/A | $3.16k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | ∞ | 100.44 | 2.94 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $3.03k | $9.62k | $4.63k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $3.03k | $3.52k | $2.46k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 7.73 | 0.95 |
| Largest win | N/A | $3.03k | $48k | $98.8k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-2.5k | $-126k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $43.2k | $32.3k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | ∞ | 4.384 | 0.106 |
| Calmar | 4.001 | 4.001 | 4.001 | 4.001 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 122.0 | 122.0 | 122.0 | 122.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 100% | 17% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 57% | 6% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 86% | 10% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 2 | 15 | 41 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 9 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 3 | 867 | 1159 | 13239 |
| Unique markets | 1 | 5 | 36 | 1481 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 57% | 73% | 65% |
| Avg entry price | 0.469 | 0.259 | 0.463 | 0.523 |
| Portfolio HHI | 1.000 | 0.580 | 0.077 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | 8% | 11% | 12% | 9% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 28.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 4 | 31 | 1390 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 71% | 84% | 76% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 100% | 88% | 93% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2816 | 0.2496 | 0.1526 | 0.1908 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2816 | 0.2605 | 0.1988 | 0.2203 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.994 | 0.709 | 0.795 | 0.590 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $267 | $186 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0864 | 0.0864 | 0.0864 | 0.0864 |
| Alpha ($) | $-76 | $-76 | $-76 | $-76 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -4.6% | -4.6% | -4.6% | -4.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.062 | -0.062 | -0.062 | -0.062 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.1929 | 0.1929 | 0.1929 | 0.1929 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 75.2%
- Tilted Gambler: 60.2%
- News Sniper: 57.3%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 43.0%
- Conviction Holder: 38.9%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 8.13e-17; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x490747510e… entry 0.240 timing 0.92
- 0x90ab7c3881… entry 0.290 timing 0.95
- 0x68418025cb… entry 0.253 timing 0.96
- 0xfbcb8b8ac9… entry 0.190 timing 0.99
- 0xb5975b6c25… entry 0.234
- 0xbb1a11aa6c… entry 0.170 timing 0.91
- 0x5dc7afaf20… entry 0.221 timing 0.19
- 0xf65822eec2… entry 0.240 timing 0.13
- 0xae0c9dbcc7… entry 0.280 timing 0.12
- 0xa32c9b7606… entry 0.194 timing 0.13
- 0x62008db6ce… entry 0.235 timing 0.18
- 0xfe9bdb0f10… entry 0.035 timing 0.44
- 0xef4c449ccd… entry 0.290 timing 0.28
- 0xf145ae8beb… entry 0.230 timing 0.17
- 0xabde0e7fd2… entry 0.170 timing 0.47
- 0x4bd597c637… entry 0.240 timing 0.18
- 0x1db00933c8… entry 0.257 timing 0.36
- 0x16b778e024… entry 0.140 timing 0.42
- 0x1c15e9a81b… entry 0.140 timing 0.29