0x6e1d…d0fa

0x6e1d5040d0ac73709b0621f620d2a60b80d2d0fa

Favorite GrinderGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.

61% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (62%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.65).

That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 11:50:08 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$919k

Open PnL

$-63.2k

Max drawdown

$216k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$919k
Realized PnL	$0	$0	$0	$444k
Win rate	N/A	N/A	N/A	62%
ROI	N/A	N/A	N/A	1%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.259
Markets	0	0	0	883
Best day	$0	$0

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.07
Mean trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$125
Median trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$26
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.65
Largest win	N/A	N/A	N/A	$183k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-266k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	N/A	$32.1k
Sortino (daily)	0.190	0.190	0.190	0.190
Calmar	4.252	4.252	4.252	4.252
Drawdown duration (days)	9.0	9.0	9.0	9.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	N/A	N/A	3%
Concentration top-5	N/A	N/A	N/A	10%
Concentration top-10	N/A	N/A	N/A	14%
Max win streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	13
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	8

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	0	0	64748
Unique markets	0	0	0	883
Active days ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	88%
Avg entry price	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.547
Portfolio HHI	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.007
Maker share (notional)	N/A	N/A	N/A	53%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	20.0
Holding time median (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	6.2
Max concurrent	N/A	N/A	N/A	704
Disposition ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.03
Add-to-winner share	N/A	N/A	N/A	61%
Average-down share	N/A	N/A	N/A	38%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	N/A	N/A	67%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0668
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0597
Entry timing mean	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.731
Exit quality ($)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-108
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	N/A	N/A	1789.9%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0152	-0.0152	-0.0152	-0.0152
Alpha ($)	$-5.03k	$-5.03k	$-5.03k	$-5.03k
Alpha ROI gap	-48.2%	-48.2%	-48.2%	-48.2%
Contrarian score	0.285	0.285	0.285	0.285
Post-fill drift	-0.0183	-0.0183	-0.0183	-0.0183
Post-fill candles (mean)	5.3	5.3	5.3	5.3
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Favorite Grinder: 59.2%
Scalper: 48.9%
News Sniper: 37.7%
Tilted Gambler: 30.3%
Conviction Holder: 28.9%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x98836967b3… entry 0.004
0x70b5df45bb… entry 0.005 timing 0.39
0x015b787c84… entry 0.090 timing 0.43
0xf4f1e40093… entry 0.150 timing 0.42
0xcb8635da1a… entry 0.097 timing 0.42
0x52de9fade2… entry 0.070 timing 0.45
0x65bc8d4cb1… entry 0.090 timing 0.57
0xbc8bd7ad37… entry 0.008 timing 0.71
0xb1b05a9d43… entry 0.003 timing 0.95
0xec331aaad7… entry 0.082
0xb224eef12e… entry 0.081
0x57a25cd8cc… entry 0.044 timing 0.87
0x993dff9ccd… entry 0.030 timing 0.84
0xfb8c1e8016… entry 0.060
0xbc86c640ca… entry 0.119
0xf55ad23c99… entry 0.026 timing 0.99
0xe85c5bd3fc… entry 0.147
0x34a24e9df6… entry 0.001
0x4f88a4f4e7… entry 0.003

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0x6e1d…d0fa

0x6e1d5040d0ac73709b0621f620d2a60b80d2d0fa

This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.

61% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (62%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.65).

That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$919k

Realized PnL

$444k

Win rate

N/A

62%

ROI

N/A

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.259

Markets

883

Best day

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

1.07

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$125

Median trade PnL

N/A

$26

Payoff ratio

N/A

0.65

Largest win

N/A

$183k

Largest loss

N/A

$-266k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$32.1k

Sortino (daily)

0.190

Calmar

4.252

Drawdown duration (days)

9.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

Concentration top-5

N/A

10%

Concentration top-10

N/A

14%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

64748

Unique markets

883

Active days ratio

N/A

88%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.547

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.007

Maker share (notional)

N/A

53%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

20.0

Holding time median (h)

N/A

6.2

Max concurrent

N/A

704

Disposition ratio

N/A

1.03

Add-to-winner share

N/A

61%

Average-down share

N/A

38%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

67%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.0668

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.0597

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.731

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$-108

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

1789.9%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0152

Alpha ($)

$-5.03k

Alpha ROI gap

-48.2%

Contrarian score

0.285

Post-fill drift

-0.0183

Post-fill candles (mean)

5.3

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Favorite Grinder: 59.2%

Scalper: 48.9%

News Sniper: 37.7%

Tilted Gambler: 30.3%

Conviction Holder: 28.9%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x98836967b3… entry 0.004
0x70b5df45bb… entry 0.005 timing 0.39
0x015b787c84… entry 0.090 timing 0.43
0xf4f1e40093… entry 0.150 timing 0.42
0xcb8635da1a… entry 0.097 timing 0.42
0x52de9fade2… entry 0.070 timing 0.45
0x65bc8d4cb1… entry 0.090 timing 0.57
0xbc8bd7ad37… entry 0.008 timing 0.71
0xb1b05a9d43… entry 0.003 timing 0.95
0xec331aaad7… entry 0.082
0xb224eef12e… entry 0.081
0x57a25cd8cc… entry 0.044 timing 0.87
0x993dff9ccd… entry 0.030 timing 0.84
0xfb8c1e8016… entry 0.060
0xbc86c640ca… entry 0.119
0xf55ad23c99… entry 0.026 timing 0.99
0xe85c5bd3fc… entry 0.147
0x34a24e9df6… entry 0.001
0x4f88a4f4e7… entry 0.003

Bitcoin	$320k	63%	2193
Crypto	$124k	60%	1367
Solana	$30	100%	1

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xf326a071…	$148k	$783k	18.9%
0x06a804e8…	$-82.8k	$1.65M	-5.0%
0xee07df9a…	$49.2k	$68.3k	72.0%
0x96c76506…	$40.3k	$258k	15.6%
0x15c020be…	$-37.6k	$89.3k	-42.1%
0xe9386423…	$-33.4k	$83.7k	-40.0%
0x62485cbd…	$25.1k	$230k	10.9%
0x27ad7bac…	$24.6k	$379k	6.5%
0x2dd157c0…	$-22.4k	$135k	-16.6%
0x798793c4…	$-22.4k	$51.9k	-43.2%
0x8229fcaf…	$22.2k	$28.5k	77.9%
0x862e2cb5…	$20k	$17.5k	114.3%
0x0e2bb20c…	$19.1k	$25.2k	75.7%
0x2cd998ab…	$-19k	$57.2k	-33.1%
0xa31b1c73…	$-18.2k	$50.7k	-36.0%

0x6e1d…d0fa

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x6e1d…d0fa

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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