This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 15 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.75 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 3.6 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:25:25 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$171k
Open PnL
$-22.9k
Max drawdown
$5.13k
Underwater days
49
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
PnL (leaderboard)
$6.05k
N/A
N/A
N/A
Realized PnL
$5.82k
$5.63k
$22.9k
$199k
Win rate
86%
87%
74%
71%
ROI
12%
7%
7%
5%
Sharpe (daily)
N/A
0.173
0.215
0.213
Markets
10
30
116
1362
Best day
$5.89k
$5.89k
Performance
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Profit factor
108.69
4.39
2.73
2.16
Mean trade PnL
$831
$375
$206
$67
Median trade PnL
$1.05k
$30
$30
$16
Payoff ratio
18.11
0.68
0.96
0.87
Largest win
$1.86k
$1.86k
$3.87k
$7.39k
Largest loss
$-54
$-1.6k
$-2.74k
$-5.69k
Expectancy
$831
Risk
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
PnL volatility
N/A
$2.48k
$2.84k
$1.19k
Sortino (daily)
N/A
0.506
0.383
0.300
Calmar
29.589
29.589
29.589
29.589
Drawdown duration (days)
7.0
7.0
7.0
7.0
Consistency
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Concentration top-1
31%
21%
8%
2%
Concentration top-5
99%
84%
32%
7%
Concentration top-10
100%
99%
49%
11%
Max win streak
4
7
13
38
Max loss streak
1
1
3
8
Odds bucket
24h win rate
7d win rate
30d win rate
All-time win rate
Notional (all)
Activity
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Trade count
309
654
3975
40822
Unique markets
10
30
116
1362
Active days ratio
200%
114%
103%
78%
Avg entry price
0.864
0.840
0.674
0.693
Portfolio HHI
0.237
0.122
0.028
0.004
Maker share (notional)
57%
66%
69%
73%
Two-sided share
20%
Behavior
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Holding time avg (h)
0.7
5.9
24.4
111.0
Holding time median (h)
0.4
0.5
0.6
3.6
Max concurrent
9
23
89
997
Disposition ratio
33.20
2.33
0.71
0.76
Add-to-winner share
86%
59%
57%
70%
Average-down share
13%
38%
39%
25%
Tilt ratio
1.03
Markets / calibration
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Held to resolution
100%
92%
76%
72%
Brier (weighted)
0.0202
0.0662
0.0765
0.0766
Brier (unweighted)
0.0294
0.0974
0.1119
0.1173
Entry timing mean
0.981
0.801
0.822
0.754
Exit quality ($)
$-227
$290
$236
$56
Exit quality ROI gap
-4.0%
-5.9%
3.8%
3259.4%
Style
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
CLV mean
0.0148
0.0148
0.0148
0.0148
Alpha ($)
$-69
$-69
$-69
$-69
Alpha ROI gap
32.1%
32.1%
32.1%
32.1%
Contrarian score
0.164
0.164
0.164
0.164
Post-fill drift
-0.0050
-0.0050
-0.0050
-0.0050
Post-fill candles (mean)
5.8
5.8
5.8
5.8
Post-fill observations
Archetype scores
News Sniper: 67.8%
Scalper: 49.3%
Favorite Grinder: 47.7%
Tilted Gambler: 39.7%
Conviction Holder: 32.8%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 6.04e-38; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.