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0x6b123a3056bdfa9a6ab33f884e735deeb18ed642
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 3 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.97 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 0.0 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:43:12 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $6.32k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $10k | $10k | $27k | $57.6k |
| Win rate | 83% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| ROI | 17% | 17% | 19% | 25% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.510 | 0.249 | 0.091 |
| Markets | 5 | 5 | 24 | 53 |
| Best day | $7.4k | $7.4k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 70.62 | 70.62 | 21.90 | 14.03 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.67k | $1.67k | $1.18k | $1.2k |
| Median trade PnL | $2.22k | $2.22k | $1.2k | $1.04k |
| Payoff ratio | 14.12 | 14.12 | 4.61 | 2.81 |
| Largest win | $2.74k | $2.74k | $2.81k | $4.77k |
| Largest loss | $-144 | $-144 | $-940 | $-2.49k |
| Expectancy | $1.67k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $2.81k | $1.94k | $2.79k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.143 | 0.030 |
| Calmar | 0.848 | 0.848 | 0.848 | 0.848 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 41.5 | 41.5 | 41.5 | 41.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 27% | 27% | 9% | 8% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 43% | 28% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 76% | 48% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 127 | 127 | 456 | 829 |
| Unique markets | 5 | 5 | 24 | 53 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 200% | 21% | 20% |
| Avg entry price | 0.789 | 0.789 | 0.745 | 0.713 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.290 | 0.290 | 0.092 | 0.044 |
| Maker share (notional) | 57% | 57% | 52% | 53% |
| Two-sided share | 20% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 5 | 5 | 17 | 29 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.78 | 0.78 | 4.02 | 1.91 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 43% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 100% | 57% |
| Tilt ratio | 6.36 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 83% | 83% | 69% | 55% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0368 | 0.0368 | 0.0372 | 0.0573 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0591 | 0.0591 | 0.1173 | 0.1377 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.988 | 0.988 | 0.979 | 0.973 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-485 | $-485 | $-115 | $-78 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0414 | 0.0414 | 0.0414 | 0.0414 |
| Alpha ($) | $-377 | $-377 | $-377 | $-377 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 25.4% | 25.4% | 25.4% | 25.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.183 | -0.183 | -0.183 | -0.183 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0009 | 0.0009 | 0.0009 | 0.0009 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $7.4k |
| $7.61k |
| Worst day | $7.4k | $0 | $-2.45k | $-16.6k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $1.67k |
| $1.18k |
| $1.2k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 63% | 3% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 67% | 67% | 5% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 96% | 73% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 20% |
| 20% |
| 13% |
| 11% |
| Spread capture | 0.0241 | 0.0241 | 0.0296 | 0.0156 |
| Inventory turnover | 127.00 | 127.00 | 456.00 | 829.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.21 | 1.26 |
| Avg ticket | $608 | $608 | $377 | $350 |
| Median ticket | $78 | $78 | $46 | $50 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -24.20 | 0.72 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6.36 |
| 3.12 |
| 2.05 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $57.6k | 83% | 48 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9692d50b… | $4.77k | $13.7k | 34.7% |
| 0xe31fb5b0… | $4.14k | $3.36k | 123.4% |
| 0xd5077c74… | $3.32k | $6.05k | 54.8% |
| 0x78fdaa29… | $2.81k | $5.04k | 55.7% |
| 0x82c9e0a5… | $2.76k | $7.24k | 38.1% |
| 0x45c6d692… | $2.74k | $14.7k | 18.7% |
| 0x713444b8… | $2.74k | $3k | 91.4% |
| 0x922d786b… | $2.61k | $12.5k | 21.0% |
| 0x6fe99ec0… | $-2.35k | $4.37k | -53.7% |
| 0x029737e7… | $2.27k | $20.3k | 11.2% |
| 0xfe5703b2… | $2.2k | $7.8k | 28.2% |
| 0x41940efa… | $2.17k | $15.6k | 14.0% |
| 0x02b9e7a5… | $2.12k | $1.28k | 165.8% |
| 0xb8d1db7f… | $2.02k | $11.3k | 17.9% |
| 0x420d1dff… | $1.99k | $6.36k | 31.3% |
| 189 |
| 189 |
| 189 |
| 189 |