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0x6916…2fd4 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x6916…2fd4
0x6916cc00aa1c3e75ecf4081df7cae7d2f3592fd4
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 84% and two-sided activity is 66%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 16267.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (75%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:48:28 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $438k |
| Realized PnL | $364 | $3.33k | $11.3k | $439k |
| Win rate | 67% | 63% | 66% | 64% |
| ROI | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.294 | 0.169 | 0.387 |
| Markets | 28 | 54 | 125 | 151 |
| Best day | $-2 | $2.6k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.40 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 3.63 |
| Mean trade PnL | $40 | $71 | $68 | $102 |
| Median trade PnL | $18 | $5 | $12 | $11 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.70 | 1.35 | 0.76 | 2.05 |
| Largest win | $636 | $1.42k | $6.96k | $16.5k |
| Largest loss | $-692 | $-692 | $-5.99k | $-5.99k |
| Expectancy | $40 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.57k | $2.71k | $2.37k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.301 | 0.178 | 0.505 |
| Calmar | 40.515 | 40.515 | 40.515 | 40.515 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 32% | 20% | 14% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 91% | 56% | 46% | 9% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 77% | 65% | 14% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 217 | 2733 | 9988 | 16267 |
| Unique markets | 28 | 54 | 125 | 151 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.257 | 0.358 | 0.404 | 0.409 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.183 | 0.049 | 0.026 | 0.022 |
| Maker share (notional) | 68% | 50% | 73% | 84% |
| Two-sided share | 7% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 8.3 | 23.3 | 47.9 | 54.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | 8.6 | 14.8 | 28.6 | 27.6 |
| Max concurrent | 21 | 46 | 95 | 122 |
| Disposition ratio | 2.56 | 0.65 | 1.05 | 1.30 |
| Add-to-winner share | 84% | 60% | 45% | 42% |
| Average-down share | 10% | 39% | 53% | 57% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.10 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 67% | 75% | 75% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0298 | 0.0265 | 0.0291 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.0742 | 0.0198 | 0.0580 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.514 | 0.415 | 0.470 | 0.380 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $889 | $1.69k | $442 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 37.9% | 22.6% | -4.9% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0287 | 0.0287 | 0.0287 | 0.0287 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.49k | $-1.49k | $-1.49k | $-1.49k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -160.7% | -160.7% | -160.7% | -160.7% |
| Contrarian score | -0.030 | -0.030 | -0.030 | -0.030 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0066 | -0.0066 | -0.0066 | -0.0066 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| Worst day | $-2 | $-2.14k | $-7.42k | $-7.42k |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 10% |
| Spread capture | -0.0129 | -0.0046 | -0.0030 | -0.0024 |
| Inventory turnover | 217.00 | 2733.00 | 9988.00 | 16267.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.37 | 1.86 | 1.59 | 0.11 |
| Avg ticket | $194 | $249 | $284 | $287 |
| Median ticket | $21 | $23 | $19 | $18 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -265.60 | -88.54 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Bitcoin | $233k | 67% | 1175 |
| Crypto | $83.3k | 66% | 584 |
| Ethereum | $43.1k | 60% | 634 |
| Crypto Prices | $32.9k | 58% | 923 |
| Solana | $27.6k | 66% | 522 |
| Recurring | $11.9k | 67% | 100 |
| XRP | $6.25k | 73% | 268 |
| Hit Price | $1.43k | 68% | 41 |
| Up or Down | $-159 | 39% | 23 |
| Ripple | $-113 | 0% | 4 |
| June 27 | $-108 | 50% | 6 |
| uncategorized | $9 | 50% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xd32f73b7… | $16.9k | $382k | 4.4% |
| 0x36912c98… | $14.2k | $742k | 1.9% |
| 0xffcbecbf… | $13.4k | $510k | 2.6% |
| 0x844c6215… | $9.86k | $163k | 6.0% |
| 0x06a804e8… | $8.27k | $25.6k | 32.3% |
| 0x6992fdf3… | $7.96k | $186k | 4.3% |
| 0xe00d6ce6… | $7.4k | $248k | 3.0% |
| 0xeeb92ddd… | $6.94k | $699k | 1.0% |
| 0x62485cbd… | $6.36k | $99.9k | 6.4% |
| 0x337e5c84… | $6.17k | $178k | 3.5% |
| 0xadebd6bb… | $6.05k | $27.2k | 22.2% |
| 0x2de954c6… | $5.99k | $105k | 5.7% |
| 0x29d88453… | $5.97k | $218k | 2.7% |
| 0xce6f2c74… | $-5.86k | $12.3k | -47.6% |
| 0xa5462af7… | $5.8k | $106k | 5.5% |