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0x67bb…b6ef
0x67bb64fac5252df3f61ee2d91a4b1350e40eb6ef
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 7.14 and disposition ratio 0.09, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 117.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:45:13 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-93.8k
Open PnL
$1.9k
Max drawdown
$714k
Underwater days
148
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $2.25k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-110k | $-90.4k | $-252k | $-98k |
| Win rate | 29% | 49% | 57% | 60% |
| ROI | -75% | -12% | -8% | -0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.258 | -0.191 | -0.007 |
| Markets | 14 | 66 | 323 | 567 |
| Best day | $-15.8k | $23.5k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.05 | 0.73 | 0.78 | 0.99 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-6.49k | $-1.26k | $-757 | $-52 |
| Median trade PnL | $-3.66k | $-97 | $233 | $199 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.13 | 0.78 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| Largest win | $4.93k | $20.1k | $40k | $100k |
| Largest loss | $-27.1k | $-27.1k | $-37.9k | $-100k |
| Expectancy | $-6.49k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $42.9k | $27.7k | $22k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.154 | -0.143 | -0.005 |
| Calmar | -0.129 | -0.129 | -0.129 | -0.129 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 90.5 | 90.5 | 90.5 | 90.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 22% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 72% | 20% | 9% | 3% |
| Concentration top-10 | 95% | 34% | 15% | 5% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| Max loss streak | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 354 | 1142 | 5130 | 12922 |
| Unique markets | 14 | 66 | 323 | 567 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 102% |
| Avg entry price | 0.528 | 0.541 | 0.540 | 0.534 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.143 | 0.025 | 0.007 | 0.003 |
| Maker share (notional) | 56% | 57% | 44% | 50% |
| Two-sided share | 29% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | 8 | 32 | 133 | 241 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.09 |
| Add-to-winner share | 86% | 67% | 59% | 58% |
| Average-down share | 14% | 25% | 38% | 38% |
| Tilt ratio | 2.84 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 45% | 40% | 41% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2364 | 0.2258 | 0.2010 | 0.2132 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2005 | 0.2338 | 0.2030 | 0.2023 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.846 | 0.670 | 0.790 | 0.799 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-1.47k | $-369 | $123 | $31 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -18.8% | -5.5% | 3.0% | -51.9% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0065 | -0.0065 | -0.0065 | -0.0065 |
| Alpha ($) | $-762 | $-762 | $-762 | $-762 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -169.5% | -169.5% | -169.5% | -169.5% |
| Contrarian score | -0.350 | -0.350 | -0.350 | -0.350 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0051 | -0.0051 | -0.0051 | -0.0051 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- Scalper: 62.5%
- News Sniper: 50.0%
- Contrarian Fader: 49.2%
- Conviction Holder: 18.8%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 1.65e-7; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
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