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0x66d5296705f8f0abcaa8043986c3dc9196aa9e9f
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
96% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (90%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.21).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:41:37 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $46.7k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $27.3k | $68k | $51.2k | $84.5k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 64% | 90% |
| ROI | 202% | 137% | 10% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.306 | 0.016 | -0.008 |
| Markets | 3 | 10 | 74 | 532 |
| Best day | $347 | $43k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 1.63 | 1.96 |
| Mean trade PnL | $13.7k | $8.5k | $617 | $160 |
| Median trade PnL | $13.7k | $2.72k | $7 | $16 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.92 | 0.21 |
| Largest win | $26.9k | $29.4k | $29.4k | $29.4k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-37.5k | $-37.5k |
| Expectancy | $13.7k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $21.8k | $14.3k | $7.21k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.391 | 0.017 | -0.005 |
| Calmar | -0.119 | -0.119 | -0.119 | -0.119 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 98% | 43% | 17% | 14% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 63% | 52% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 84% | 69% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 8 | 35 | 102 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 30 | 30 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 70 | 518 | 3428 | 11338 |
| Unique markets | 3 | 10 | 74 | 532 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 77% | 86% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.314 | 0.494 | 0.869 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.580 | 0.190 | 0.052 | 0.006 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 100% | 99% | 88% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 4.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 4.3 | 4.4 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 4 | 11 | 91 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.82 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 50% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 31% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 43% | 13% | 18% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.4469 | 0.3186 | 0.1487 | 0.0615 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.4044 | 0.2134 | 0.1939 | 0.0862 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.958 | 0.965 | 0.844 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $38 | $12 | $492 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 14.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0114 | 0.0114 | 0.0114 | 0.0114 |
| Alpha ($) | $-447 | $-447 | $-447 | $-447 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -28.7% | -28.7% | -28.7% | -28.7% |
| Contrarian score | -0.331 | -0.331 | -0.331 | -0.331 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0023 | -0.0023 | -0.0023 | -0.0023 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $43k |
| $43k |
| Worst day | $347 | $-24.1k | $-36.3k | $-37.3k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $8.5k |
| $617 |
| $160 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 7% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 100% | 38% | 36% | 1% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 43% | 61% | 1% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 68% | 82% | 2% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 88% | 99% | 96% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 2% |
| Spread capture | N/A | -0.0167 | -0.0057 | 0.0032 |
| Inventory turnover | 70.00 | 518.00 | 3428.00 | 11338.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.38 | 1.28 | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| Avg ticket | $266 | $123 | $182 | $529 |
| Median ticket | $6 | $8 | $16 | $34 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -1.50 | 1.08 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N/A |
| 0.39 |
| 1.51 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $99.1k | 85% | 124 |
| Esports | $-18.9k | 93% | 390 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $4.98k | 100% | 1 |
| Tennis | $-984 | 63% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | $300 | 100% | 1 |
| Crypto | $54 | 100% | 1 |
| MicroStrategy | $-34 | 0% | 2 |
| Trump | $1 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x64198f84… | $-37.5k | $37.5k | -100.0% |
| 0xe6ef89a8… | $29.4k | $19.6k | 150.0% |
| 0xaeec5397… | $26.9k | $13.2k | 203.0% |
| 0xad9e90bf… | $24.8k | $10.1k | 244.8% |
| 0x3c995fa8… | $-16.5k | $16.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x962c33d2… | $14.2k | $34.8k | 40.8% |
| 0x8d6da71b… | $12.8k | $12.3k | 104.1% |
| 0xf5a0c2d5… | $7.02k | $11k | 63.9% |
| 0xd279301d… | $6.24k | $5.34k | 116.8% |
| 0x5f0e6eeb… | $-5.4k | $5.4k | -100.0% |
| 0x125c3996… | $4.98k | $8.12k | 61.3% |
| 0xf9f64324… | $-4.72k | $5.53k | -85.5% |
| 0x64c212ec… | $-4.6k | $4.6k | -100.0% |
| 0x917aa2a9… | $-4.12k | $4.12k | -100.0% |
| 0xc5943cca… | $-3.9k | $3.9k | -100.0% |
| 382 |
| 382 |
| 382 |
| 382 |