0x658e…d758

0x658e4eca37bfe9f11ea54e3aac9df4f64020d758

Early-Bird ForecasterGrade Darchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.

Mean entry timing is early (0.18 of market life) and 65% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.

Turnover stays low (136.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 11:31:27 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$6.44k

Open PnL

$-176k

Max drawdown

$30.2k

Underwater days

103

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$26.2k	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$0	$125k	$154k	$182k
Win rate	N/A	100%	100%	100%
ROI	N/A	136%	134%	131%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.167	0.060	0.016
Markets	0	27	42	58
Best day	$0	$46.3k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mean trade PnL	N/A	$8.96k	$7.32k	$6.75k
Median trade PnL	N/A	$8.57k	$6.44k	$6.35k
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Largest win	N/A	$14.6k	$14.6k	$14.6k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$22.5k	$10.5k	$5.63k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	0.179	0.054	0.010
Calmar	0.335	0.335	0.335	0.335
Drawdown duration (days)	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	12%	9%	8%
Concentration top-5	N/A	52%	43%	36%
Concentration top-10	N/A	85%	71%	61%
Max win streak	N/A	14	21	27
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	71	91	136
Unique markets	0	27	42	58
Active days ratio	N/A	125%	71%	17%
Avg entry price	N/A	0.376	0.388	0.392
Portfolio HHI	N/A	0.061	0.041	0.031
Maker share (notional)	N/A	0%	0%	0%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	2.3	2.2	2.1
Holding time median (h)	N/A	1.9	1.9	1.9
Max concurrent	N/A	22	32	42
Disposition ratio	N/A	1.13	1.03	0.96
Add-to-winner share	N/A	57%	57%	56%
Average-down share	N/A	41%	41%	43%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	80%	74%	65%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	0.3207	0.3177	0.3111
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	0.3413	0.3284	0.3211
Entry timing mean	N/A	0.154	0.157	0.182
Exit quality ($)	N/A	$-263	$-177	$-151
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	-2.7%	-1.9%	-1.7%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0827	0.0827	0.0827	0.0827
Alpha ($)	$1.13k	$1.13k	$1.13k	$1.13k
Alpha ROI gap	21.8%	21.8%	21.8%	21.8%
Contrarian score	-0.140	-0.140	-0.140	-0.140
Post-fill drift	0.1100	0.1100	0.1100	0.1100
Post-fill candles (mean)	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Early-Bird Forecaster: 62.8%
Scalper: 54.4%
News Sniper: 44.9%
Contrarian Fader: 39.8%
Favorite Grinder: 37.5%

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0x658e…d758

0x658e4eca37bfe9f11ea54e3aac9df4f64020d758

Early-Bird ForecasterGrade Darchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.

Mean entry timing is early (0.18 of market life) and 65% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.

Turnover stays low (136.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$26.2k

N/A

Realized PnL

$125k

$154k

$182k

Win rate

N/A

100%

ROI

N/A

136%

134%

131%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.167

0.060

0.016

Markets

Best day

$46.3k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$8.96k

$7.32k

$6.75k

Median trade PnL

N/A

$8.57k

$6.44k

$6.35k

Payoff ratio

N/A

Largest win

N/A

$14.6k

Largest loss

N/A

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$22.5k

$10.5k

$5.63k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.179

0.054

0.010

Calmar

0.335

Drawdown duration (days)

3.5

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

12%

Concentration top-5

N/A

52%

43%

36%

Concentration top-10

N/A

85%

71%

61%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

136

Unique markets

Active days ratio

N/A

125%

71%

17%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.376

0.388

0.392

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.061

0.041

0.031

Maker share (notional)

N/A

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

2.3

2.2

2.1

Holding time median (h)

N/A

1.9

Max concurrent

N/A

Disposition ratio

N/A

1.13

1.03

0.96

Add-to-winner share

N/A

57%

56%

Average-down share

N/A

41%

43%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

80%

74%

65%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.3207

0.3177

0.3111

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.3413

0.3284

0.3211

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.154

0.157

0.182

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$-263

$-177

$-151

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

-2.7%

-1.9%

-1.7%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0827

Alpha ($)

$1.13k

Alpha ROI gap

21.8%

Contrarian score

-0.140

Post-fill drift

0.1100

Post-fill candles (mean)

3.2

Post-fill observations

Tennis	$158k	100%	22
Sports	$24.3k	100%	5

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x4304368b…	$14.6k	$8.01k	181.9%
0xb34ab679…	$14.5k	$2.64k	548.7%
0x9ef2776f…	$13.2k	$10.4k	127.4%
0x4c1035b5…	$12.5k	$7k	177.9%
0x09b07234…	$10.7k	$10k	106.7%
0xc181d1d1…	$10.7k	$8.5k	125.4%
0x776956c5…	$9.58k	$9.58k	100.0%
0xa42c181c…	$8.84k	$9.76k	90.5%
0xa3c6a78a…	$8.49k	$4.37k	194.0%
0x61094185…	$7.86k	$5.69k	138.2%
0x0075b296…	$7.56k	$4.9k	154.2%
0x992795c0…	$7.46k	$5.13k	145.5%
0x62645f4a…	$6.44k	$4.29k	150.0%
0x47e01752…	$6.35k	$5k	127.1%
0xaa18c0e9…	$6.35k	$5k	127.0%

0x658e…d758

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

0x658e…d758

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)

Fills per week