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0x6485f47d0344c03eb4340f985159f6eb2dcba265
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.19 of market life) and 95% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (32053.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:52:44 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $51.3k | $41.7k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $20.7k | $113k | $201k |
| Win rate | N/A | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| ROI | N/A | 13% | 7% | 6% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.078 | 0.209 | 0.339 |
| Markets | 7 | 311 | 1322 | 2106 |
| Best day | N/A | $27.8k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 1.32 | 1.24 | 1.35 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $114 | $65 | $64 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $4 | $4 | $4 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.95 | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| Largest win | N/A | $8.36k | $12.4k | $12.4k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-13.7k | $-24.2k | $-24.2k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $9.93k | $7.09k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.100 | 0.188 | 0.295 |
| Calmar | 3.076 | 3.076 | 3.076 | 3.076 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 11% | 2% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 36% | 10% | 7% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 52% | 17% | 13% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 5 | 110 | 110 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 40 | 1604 | 12955 | 32053 |
| Unique markets | 7 | 311 | 1322 | 2106 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95% |
| Avg entry price | 0.580 | 0.484 | 0.509 | 0.526 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.330 | 0.013 | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | 1% | 6% | 18% | 29% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Max concurrent | 7 | 300 | 1293 | 2050 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.88 | 0.93 | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Add-to-winner share | 68% | 65% | 65% | 66% |
| Average-down share | 32% | 34% | 34% | 34% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.30 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 90% | 95% | 96% | 95% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0963 | 0.1635 | 0.1529 | 0.1408 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1256 | 0.1656 | 0.1495 | 0.1427 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.111 | 0.178 | 0.178 | 0.193 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-2 | $3 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | -0.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0250 | -0.0250 | -0.0250 | -0.0250 |
| Alpha ($) | $-463 | $-463 | $-463 | $-463 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -20.4% | -20.4% | -20.4% | -20.4% |
| Contrarian score | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0245 | -0.0245 | -0.0245 | -0.0245 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $27.8k |
| $27.8k |
| Worst day | N/A | $-9.18k | $-20.2k | $-20.2k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $114 |
| $65 |
| $64 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 10% |
| 25% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 33% | 26% | 30% | 35% | 14% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 0% | 53% | 56% | 59% | 23% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 87% | 85% | 83% | 50% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 95% | 96% | 95% | 13% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 63% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0112 |
| Inventory turnover | 40.00 | 1604.00 | 12955.00 | 32053.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.05 | 1.02 | 1.22 | 1.46 |
| Avg ticket | $189 | $268 | $174 | $151 |
| Median ticket | $19 | $13 | $12 | $11 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -1488.40 | -539.95 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.07 |
| 1.46 |
| 1.45 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tennis | $201k | 63% | 3120 |
| uncategorized | $12 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xaa9814ea… | $-24.1k | $24.3k | -99.3% |
| 0xb96585ac… | $-18.2k | $19.4k | -93.7% |
| 0x2605a86f… | $-18k | $18.1k | -99.7% |
| 0xf2dbce37… | $-15.9k | $18.2k | -87.0% |
| 0x84ceac32… | $12.1k | $25.1k | 48.1% |
| 0x0c4334e8… | $11k | $9.22k | 119.8% |
| 0xb8642523… | $10.7k | $11.1k | 96.4% |
| 0xf5c66fd8… | $-10.6k | $16.2k | -65.5% |
| 0xacb0eed7… | $10.6k | $1.45k | 728.3% |
| 0xcf8482eb… | $-9.84k | $23.3k | -42.2% |
| 0xc2b77717… | $8.58k | $7.67k | 111.9% |
| 0x9188ea71… | $-8.55k | $16.6k | -51.4% |
| 0x4da73e81… | $-8.46k | $8.48k | -99.8% |
| 0xe3a8fbf2… | $8.35k | $4.88k | 171.2% |
| 0xf7266d7d… | $8.16k | $3.84k | 212.5% |
| 405 |
| 405 |
| 405 |
| 405 |