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0x629d…756c · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x629d…756c
0x629da223adfc9957329e02de95ae3d263f92756c
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 6376 with median hold 2.2 hours, maker share only 1%.
Capital velocity 0.1 and held-to-resolution 67% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:55:37 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $7.19k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $26.7k | $82.6k | $448k | $580k |
| Win rate | 83% | 80% | 76% | 72% |
| ROI | 56% | 36% | 27% | 22% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.256 | -0.472 | -0.254 |
| Markets | 302 | 599 | 599 | 599 |
| Best day | $2.57k | $5.15k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 10.06 | 3.90 | 3.19 | 2.68 |
| Mean trade PnL | $103 | $53 | $65 | $58 |
| Median trade PnL | $9 | $6 | $10 | $10 |
| Payoff ratio | 2.00 | 0.98 | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Largest win | $6.94k | $6.94k | $6.94k | $10.9k |
| Largest loss | $-857 | $-2.48k | $-4.52k | $-4.52k |
| Expectancy | $103 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $3.25k | $6.01k | $4.43k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | -0.334 | -0.207 |
| Calmar | -0.912 | -0.912 | -0.912 | -0.912 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 103.5 | 103.5 | 103.5 | 103.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 21% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 45% | 16% | 3% | 3% |
| Concentration top-10 | 59% | 25% | 6% | 6% |
| Max win streak | 62 | 62 | 62 | 62 |
| Max loss streak | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 3449 | 6376 | 6376 | 6376 |
| Unique markets | 302 | 599 | 599 | 599 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.470 | 0.489 | 0.489 | 0.489 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.048 | 0.027 | 0.027 | 0.027 |
| Maker share (notional) | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Max concurrent | 240 | 488 | 488 | 488 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.75 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| Add-to-winner share | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average-down share | 45% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.48 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 60% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1778 | 0.1550 | 0.1405 | 0.1414 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1452 | 0.1476 | 0.1473 | 0.1475 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.554 | 0.637 | 0.637 | 0.637 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-11 | $-10 | $-21 | $-26 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 6.6% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0801 | 0.0801 | 0.0801 | 0.0801 |
| Alpha ($) | $-10 | $-10 | $-10 | $-10 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -21.0% | -21.0% | -21.0% | -21.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.113 | -0.113 | -0.113 | -0.113 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0801 | 0.0801 | 0.0801 | 0.0801 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 67.0%
- Tilted Gambler: 60.7%
- Contrarian Fader: 39.7%
- News Sniper: 38.1%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 30.3%
| Worst day | $2.57k | $-5.5k | $-16.6k | $-16.6k |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 3449.00 | 6376.00 | 6376.00 | 6376.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.72 | 1.01 | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| Median ticket | $10 | $10 | $10 | $10 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $300k | 73% | 4071 |
| Esports | $238k | 70% | 3622 |
| Tennis | $40k | 75% | 2274 |
| Formula 1 | $2.04k | 94% | 16 |
| lol | $43 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xcc5ffe6f… | $10.9k | $11.1k | 97.9% |
| 0xe48ef90e… | $9.89k | $5.8k | 170.4% |
| 0xc5fae6a0… | $8.4k | $10.6k | 79.5% |
| 0x17e2f334… | $8.15k | $8.58k | 95.0% |
| 0x88a7e647… | $6.94k | $7.76k | 89.4% |
| 0xe9a37853… | $6.17k | $4.44k | 138.9% |
| 0x776956c5… | $5.84k | $6.4k | 91.3% |
| 0xff1ec56e… | $5.37k | $9.79k | 54.9% |
| 0x23eb4fc3… | $4.74k | $5.12k | 92.6% |
| 0x2e33781a… | $4.69k | $10.1k | 46.3% |
| 0x1f5cd4d1… | $4.58k | $6.12k | 74.8% |
| 0x94e50623… | $-4.52k | $14.2k | -31.8% |
| 0x31bfa69e… | $4.28k | $6.67k | 64.2% |
| 0xff091b71… | $4.14k | $6.31k | 65.6% |
| 0x3046049a… | $4.12k | $3.92k | 105.0% |