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0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 50409 with median hold 3.0 days, maker share only 60%.
Capital velocity 1.5 and held-to-resolution 50% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:34:15 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $981k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $13 | $85.7k | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 65% | 56% |
| ROI | N/A | 19% | 6% | 8% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | ∞ | 0.424 | 0.098 |
| Markets | 0 | 4 | 34 | 953 |
| Best day | N/A | $243 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | ∞ | 1.61 | 1.75 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $13 | $1.68k | $875 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $13 | $418 | $26 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.88 | 1.39 |
| Largest win | N/A | $13 | $116k | $119k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-58k | $-110k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $817 | $20.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | ∞ | 0.549 | 0.116 |
| Calmar | 3.640 | 3.640 | 3.640 | 3.640 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 168.0 | 168.0 | 168.0 | 168.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 100% | 48% | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 85% | 19% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 94% | 31% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 1 | 7 | 20 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 3 | 11 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 11 | 305 | 50409 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 4 | 34 | 953 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 75% | 72% | 82% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.196 | 0.357 | 0.450 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 0.412 | 0.170 | 0.039 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 69% | 93% | 60% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 1.0 | 17.6 | 234.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 0.8 | 0.8 | 72.2 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 3 | 15 | 521 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.01 | 1.32 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 78% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 100% | 43% | 50% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0256 | 0.0300 | 0.1287 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.0256 | 0.1169 | 0.1338 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.847 | 0.695 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-0 | $382 | $12 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -0.0% | 32.3% | 47.7% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0103 | -0.0103 | -0.0103 | -0.0103 |
| Alpha ($) | $182 | $182 | $182 | $182 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -56.0% | -56.0% | -56.0% | -56.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.138 | -0.138 | -0.138 | -0.138 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0284 | -0.0284 | -0.0284 | -0.0284 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 9.09e-8; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $1.82k |
| $237k |
| Worst day | N/A | $-455 | $-1.21k | $-203k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $13 |
| $1.68k |
| $875 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 50% |
| 24% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 50% | 41% | 16% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 86% | 60% | 19% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 67% | 75% | 52% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 50% | 78% | 11% |
| 0% |
| 9% |
| 31% |
| Spread capture | N/A | -0.0062 | 0.0751 | -0.0232 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | 11.00 | 305.00 | 50409.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 23.52 | 0.06 | 1.51 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | $149 | $274 | $353 |
| Median ticket | N/A | $39 | $37 | $17 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -46.80 | 3.64 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| N/A |
| 2.08 |
| 1.61 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Global Elections | $183k | 62% | 117 |
| Politics | $170k | 56% | 278 |
| Hungary Election | $119k | 62% | 34 |
| Romania | $76.2k | 46% | 35 |
| Elections | $75.4k | 56% | 77 |
| Peru | $71.2k | 50% | 18 |
| potusbanner | $57.5k | 33% | 6 |
| World | $47.3k | 56% | 62 |
| Dem Nominee | $46.5k | 67% | 6 |
| Trump | $-37.4k | 41% | 17 |
| State Presidential Election | $-31.4k | 40% | 15 |
| US Election | $29.1k | 57% | 7 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5ce0d897… | $119k | $395k | 30.0% |
| 0xd009ac14… | $112k | $613k | 18.2% |
| 0x27fa002b… | $-89.2k | $118k | -75.5% |
| 0xc15a24d1… | $-83.3k | $95.8k | -86.9% |
| 0x3aeaddfa… | $74.1k | $190k | 39.0% |
| 0xc6485bb7… | $63k | $639k | 9.9% |
| 0x2cd24d17… | $57.5k | $693k | 8.3% |
| 0x1480b819… | $56k | $279k | 20.1% |
| 0x5ec80dc4… | $45.6k | $224k | 20.4% |
| 0x7d4d6916… | $35.1k | $110k | 32.0% |
| 0x68742aa4… | $-35.1k | $36.6k | -95.9% |
| 0x9e907163… | $34.1k | $195k | 17.5% |
| 0x830fe8eb… | $-28.6k | $49.9k | -57.2% |
| 0xae6d3d20… | $-27.6k | $81.8k | -33.7% |
| 0xcd1b6b71… | $27.1k | $255k | 10.6% |
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| 452 |
| 452 |
| 452 |