0x61f1…7aef

0x61f15c585de606990fd711169ce835c009fc7aef

ScalperGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 2989 with median hold 2.2 hours, maker share only 27%.

Capital velocity 1.9 and held-to-resolution 66% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 11:29:24 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$9.44k

Open PnL

$-29.1k

Max drawdown

$3.28k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$1.49k	N/A	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$3.06k	$15.8k	$43.7k	$48k
Win rate	95%	96%	91%	83%
ROI	79%	73%	81%	73%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.305	0.206	0.186
Markets	27	209	644	1119
Best day	$1.45k	$3.71k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	281.80	166.81	32.55	21.06
Mean trade PnL	$161	$140	$119	$64
Median trade PnL	$41	$37	$16	$6
Payoff ratio	15.66	6.24	3.27	4.23
Largest win	$750	$948	$957	$957
Largest loss	$-11	$-41	$-817	$-817
Expectancy	$161

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$1.65k	$1.33k	$1.08k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	0.654	0.332	0.279
Calmar	2.885	2.885	2.885	2.885
Drawdown duration (days)	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	24%	6%	2%	2%
Concentration top-5	76%	26%	10%	9%
Concentration top-10	95%	43%	19%	17%
Max win streak	16	47	47	47
Max loss streak	1	1	4	6

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	30	307	1710	2989
Unique markets	27	209	644	1119
Active days ratio	200%	114%	103%	87%
Avg entry price	0.543	0.498	0.424	0.432
Portfolio HHI	0.066	0.010	0.005	0.004
Maker share (notional)	0%	8%	22%	27%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	7.0	9.6	5.7	4.6
Holding time median (h)	5.8	5.2	2.4	2.2
Max concurrent	26	193	469	720
Disposition ratio	0.95	0.95	1.04	1.01
Add-to-winner share	N/A	91%	50%	45%
Average-down share	N/A	0%	35%	40%
Tilt ratio	0.03

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	100%	93%	75%	66%
Brier (weighted)	0.1933	0.1743	0.2190	0.2124
Brier (unweighted)	0.1656	0.1776	0.2103	0.2059
Entry timing mean	0.641	0.405	0.582	0.549
Exit quality ($)	$-0	$0	$6	$4
Exit quality ROI gap	-0.0%	2.8%	15.1%	10.3%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.1647	0.1647	0.1647	0.1647
Alpha ($)	$7	$7	$7	$7
Alpha ROI gap	99396.6%	99396.6%	99396.6%	99396.6%
Contrarian score	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
Post-fill drift	0.2535	0.2535	0.2535	0.2535
Post-fill candles (mean)	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 67.4%
News Sniper: 40.8%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 36.7%
Contrarian Fader: 30.5%
Tilted Gambler: 30.1%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.28e-13; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x256f34d8f4… entry 0.260 timing 0.10
0x19988b4725… entry 0.150 timing 0.98
0x37c72a20d9… entry 0.210 timing 0.80
0xdbbbbd6ea7… entry 0.260 timing 0.89
0x7078da8d4a… entry 0.280 timing 0.40
0x48271aee2f… entry 0.170 timing 0.71
0x889e0fa1c4… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
0x26c84897f3… entry 0.196
0xb53dc0c638… entry 0.220 timing 1.00
0x8765cc2b3c… entry 0.240 timing 1.00
0x568ca2eb02… entry 0.240 timing 0.98
0xaa7f00ae14… entry 0.020
0x17d821a919… entry 0.280
0x442cd818d0… entry 0.160 timing 0.93

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0x61f1…7aef

0x61f15c585de606990fd711169ce835c009fc7aef

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 2989 with median hold 2.2 hours, maker share only 27%.

Capital velocity 1.9 and held-to-resolution 66% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$1.49k

N/A

Realized PnL

$3.06k

$15.8k

$43.7k

$48k

Win rate

95%

96%

91%

83%

ROI

79%

73%

81%

73%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.305

0.206

0.186

Markets

209

644

1119

Best day

$1.45k

$3.71k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

281.80

166.81

32.55

21.06

Mean trade PnL

$161

$140

$119

$64

Median trade PnL

$41

$37

$16

Payoff ratio

15.66

6.24

3.27

4.23

Largest win

$750

$948

$957

Largest loss

$-11

$-41

$-817

Expectancy

$161

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$1.65k

$1.33k

$1.08k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.654

0.332

0.279

Calmar

2.885

Drawdown duration (days)

5.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

24%

Concentration top-5

76%

26%

10%

Concentration top-10

95%

43%

19%

17%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

307

1710

2989

Unique markets

209

644

1119

Active days ratio

200%

114%

103%

87%

Avg entry price

0.543

0.498

0.424

0.432

Portfolio HHI

0.066

0.010

0.005

0.004

Maker share (notional)

22%

27%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

7.0

9.6

5.7

4.6

Holding time median (h)

5.8

5.2

2.4

2.2

Max concurrent

193

469

720

Disposition ratio

0.95

1.04

1.01

Add-to-winner share

N/A

91%

50%

45%

Average-down share

N/A

35%

40%

Tilt ratio

0.03

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

100%

93%

75%

66%

Brier (weighted)

0.1933

0.1743

0.2190

0.2124

Brier (unweighted)

0.1656

0.1776

0.2103

0.2059

Entry timing mean

0.641

0.405

0.582

0.549

Exit quality ($)

$-0

Exit quality ROI gap

-0.0%

2.8%

15.1%

10.3%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.1647

Alpha ($)

Alpha ROI gap

99396.6%

Contrarian score

0.000

Post-fill drift

0.2535

Post-fill candles (mean)

3.9

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 67.4%

News Sniper: 40.8%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 36.7%

Contrarian Fader: 30.5%

Tilted Gambler: 30.1%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.28e-13; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x256f34d8f4… entry 0.260 timing 0.10
0x19988b4725… entry 0.150 timing 0.98
0x37c72a20d9… entry 0.210 timing 0.80
0xdbbbbd6ea7… entry 0.260 timing 0.89
0x7078da8d4a… entry 0.280 timing 0.40
0x48271aee2f… entry 0.170 timing 0.71
0x889e0fa1c4… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
0x26c84897f3… entry 0.196
0xb53dc0c638… entry 0.220 timing 1.00
0x8765cc2b3c… entry 0.240 timing 1.00
0x568ca2eb02… entry 0.240 timing 0.98
0xaa7f00ae14… entry 0.020
0x17d821a919… entry 0.280
0x442cd818d0… entry 0.160 timing 0.93

Sports	$37.5k	82%	581
Tennis	$7.61k	84%	94
Weather	$1.95k	100%	22
Esports	$919	83%	23
FIFA	$24	100%	4
Politics	$8	100%	1
primary elections	$-2	0%	1
Trump	$1	100%	3
UK	$0	100%	1

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xc297782d…	$957	$1k	95.7%
0x8765cc2b…	$950	$300	316.7%
0x776956c5…	$948	$800	118.5%
0x7f631610…	$947	$750	126.2%
0x1fa1ccc9…	$937	$30	3175.6%
0xa947b7c6…	$932	$1.05k	88.7%
0x92349186…	$880	$750	117.4%
0xad4c1097…	$857	$300	285.8%
0xdbbbbd6e…	$854	$300	284.6%
0xd7d5b787…	$-817	$2k	-40.8%
0x23c671b3…	$816	$500	163.2%
0xed716b8f…	$814	$605	134.7%
0x256f34d8…	$782	$275	284.6%
0xc4b03b2b…	$750	$500	150.0%
0xf134b5d6…	$733	$625	117.3%

0x61f1…7aef

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x61f1…7aef

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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