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0x613bfbb81d9e5398bff208da4ae848e7a73e823a
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 6923 with median hold 2.2 hours, maker share only 27%.
Capital velocity 1.3 and held-to-resolution 91% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:33:43 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $4.51k | $43k | $107k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $39.2k | $74.9k | $393k | $421k |
| Win rate | 78% | 86% | 80% | 60% |
| ROI | 60% | 55% | 41% | 24% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.660 | 0.208 | 0.028 |
| Markets | 10 | 25 | 148 | 913 |
| Best day | $5.28k | $25.3k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 10.10 | 13.37 | 9.09 | 2.69 |
| Mean trade PnL | $4.36k | $3.57k | $3.09k | $384 |
| Median trade PnL | $819 | $832 | $689 | $6 |
| Payoff ratio | 2.88 | 2.23 | 2.25 | 1.77 |
| Largest win | $14.9k | $14.9k | $41.4k | $41.4k |
| Largest loss | $-4.18k | $-4.18k | $-6.06k | $-25.9k |
| Expectancy | $4.36k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $9.31k | $17.8k | $5.98k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 633.890 | 0.252 | 0.025 |
| Calmar | 0.902 | 0.902 | 0.902 | 0.902 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 307.0 | 307.0 | 307.0 | 307.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 32% | 18% | 8% | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | 98% | 75% | 25% | 15% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 95% | 39% | 23% |
| Max win streak | 5 | 9 | 16 | 17 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 107 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 87 | 200 | 1635 | 6923 |
| Unique markets | 10 | 25 | 148 | 913 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 86% | 80% | 46% |
| Avg entry price | 0.460 | 0.493 | 0.517 | 0.549 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.379 | 0.124 | 0.020 | 0.009 |
| Maker share (notional) | 32% | 27% | 26% | 27% |
| Two-sided share | 20% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| Max concurrent | 8 | 23 | 138 | 846 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| Add-to-winner share | 57% | 50% | 60% | 48% |
| Average-down share | 29% | 38% | 29% | 38% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.79 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 67% | 86% | 91% | 91% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1386 | 0.1257 | 0.1040 | 0.1223 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2152 | 0.1907 | 0.1672 | 0.1765 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.484 | 0.531 | 0.602 | 0.437 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $4 | $-63 | $-7 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0515 | 0.0515 | 0.0515 | 0.0515 |
| Alpha ($) | $-7 | $-7 | $-7 | $-7 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -25.6% | -25.6% | -25.6% | -25.6% |
| Contrarian score | 0.143 | 0.143 | 0.143 | 0.143 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0520 | 0.0520 | 0.0520 | 0.0520 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Post-fill observations | 104 |
Joint probability 4.86e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $53.1k |
| $53.1k |
| Worst day | $5.28k | $-10 | $-42.1k | $-42.1k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $3.57k |
| $3.09k |
| $384 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 50% | 57% | 54% | 29% | 8% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 74% | 51% | 19% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 94% | 81% | 57% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 97% | 16% |
| 12% |
| 16% |
| 28% |
| Spread capture | 0.0244 | 0.0023 | -0.0037 | -0.0088 |
| Inventory turnover | 87.00 | 200.00 | 1635.00 | 6923.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.14 | 1.24 | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| Avg ticket | $863 | $842 | $791 | $317 |
| Median ticket | $39 | $86 | $67 | $29 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -5.70 | 2.35 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 1.65 |
| 2.05 |
| 0.70 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $424k | 60% | 1077 |
| invitational | $-13.4k | 67% | 3 |
| NBA | $6.61k | 50% | 2 |
| Tennis | $3.93k | 100% | 4 |
| nyc | $-882 | 0% | 2 |
| Peru | $530 | 100% | 2 |
| NFL Playoffs | $-237 | 0% | 1 |
| NJ Governor | $-132 | 0% | 1 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $63 | 100% | 1 |
| mvp | $-36 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2fa28ee7… | $41.4k | $9.94k | 416.5% |
| 0x47a079b6… | $27k | $86.3k | 31.2% |
| 0x6509c26f… | $-25.9k | $26k | -99.7% |
| 0xebb200cb… | $24.7k | $17.9k | 138.3% |
| 0x5ee8c736… | $-18k | $18.7k | -96.4% |
| 0x2037b257… | $14.9k | $17k | 88.1% |
| 0xc41f543c… | $14.9k | $44.6k | 33.3% |
| 0x9bb9f7c7… | $13.1k | $9.32k | 140.8% |
| 0x9c183f63… | $12.6k | $42.1k | 29.9% |
| 0xc495d1ca… | $12.3k | $4.62k | 266.9% |
| 0x08d56195… | $12.2k | $12.4k | 98.3% |
| 0xaf01d7a1… | $11.8k | $11.8k | 100.4% |
| 0xe95c61d8… | $11.5k | $9.9k | 116.2% |
| 0x49074751… | $-11.5k | $11.7k | -98.2% |
| 0x6512196f… | $11.4k | $5.61k | 203.0% |
| 104 |
| 104 |
| 104 |