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0x5f37…281b
0x5f37da9a547e2c439d6d94d70c98ce35ab49281b
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 6383 with median hold 0.1 hours, maker share only 15%.
Capital velocity 1.6 and held-to-resolution 82% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:36:30 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-36.9k
Open PnL
$-990
Max drawdown
$48k
Underwater days
133
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.17k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $10.1k | $790 | $-8.49k | $-33.1k |
| Win rate | 33% | 16% | 10% | 16% |
| ROI | 182% | 3% | -11% | -11% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.098 | -0.082 | -0.098 |
| Markets | 16 | 68 | 294 | 1289 |
| Best day | $-843 | $10.1k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 4.92 | 1.04 | 0.87 | 0.86 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.13k | $12 | $-30 | $-39 |
| Median trade PnL | $-150 | $-160 | $-141 | $-190 |
| Payoff ratio | 9.83 | 5.63 | 7.78 | 4.58 |
| Largest win | $6.47k | $6.47k | $6.47k | $8.85k |
| Largest loss | $-1.05k | $-1.85k | $-1.85k | $-2.44k |
| Expectancy | $1.13k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $4.95k | $3k | $2.52k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.136 | -0.100 | -0.104 |
| Calmar | -0.762 | -0.762 | -0.762 | -0.762 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 132.5 | 132.5 | 132.5 | 132.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 42% | 17% | 5% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 95% | 48% | 20% | 8% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 65% | 34% | 13% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Max loss streak | 4 | 28 | 48 | 48 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 196 | 801 | 2134 | 6383 |
| Unique markets | 16 | 68 | 294 | 1289 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 87% |
| Avg entry price | 0.166 | 0.148 | 0.106 | 0.193 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.169 | 0.038 | 0.009 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | 49% | 44% | 34% | 15% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | 10 | 48 | 210 | 1093 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Add-to-winner share | 78% | 71% | 66% | 45% |
| Average-down share | 17% | 27% | 22% | 50% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.61 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 56% | 74% | 74% | 82% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1713 | 0.1933 | 0.1458 | 0.1587 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1128 | 0.1472 | 0.1006 | 0.1352 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.999 | 0.996 | 0.995 | 0.984 |
| Exit quality ($) | $1.19k | $-239 | $-82 | $-19 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 138.4% | -180.3% | -44.9% | -29.2% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0281 | -0.0281 | -0.0281 | -0.0281 |
| Alpha ($) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.043 | -0.043 | -0.043 | -0.043 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0281 | -0.0281 | -0.0281 | -0.0281 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Post-fill observations | 23 |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 76.1%
- News Sniper: 61.2%
- Tilted Gambler: 53.8%
- Longshot Hunter: 39.4%
- Contrarian Fader: 38.5%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 6.70e-37; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xfef2f8b400… entry 0.209
- 0x51a268327d… entry 0.020 timing 1.00
- 0x54cb6d2f62… entry 0.078 timing 0.98
- 0x7557af44e2… entry 0.090 timing 0.98
- 0x1bf487c229… entry 0.210 timing 1.00
- 0x3dda6da9fc… entry 0.080 timing 1.00
- 0xb287296011… entry 0.150 timing 1.00
- 0x2e9f90013e… entry 0.130 timing 1.00
- 0x5f5a294686… entry 0.130 timing 1.00
- 0x7c7314adb5… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
- 0xf1dd418c95… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
- 0xe3b6da86c7… entry 0.042
- 0x152298b0a2… entry 0.285
- 0xe0dac59afb… entry 0.183
- 0xb3693e1fba… entry 0.240
- 0x717642b14a… entry 0.260
- 0x552c047a69… entry 0.190
- 0x3c9a255fb7… entry 0.281
- 0x445a8761de… entry 0.299 timing 0.99
- 0x2e64c5ded9… entry 0.268 timing 1.00