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0x5d189e816b4149be00977c1a3c8840374aec4972
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.30 of market life) and 100% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (61014.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:25:40 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.1k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $22k | $314k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 100% | 92% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | 50% | 44% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -1.078 | -0.281 | -0.031 |
| Markets | 2 | 24 | 34 | 34 |
| Best day | $985 | $985 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 13.77 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $7.34k | $1.58k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $7.5k | $290 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.14 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $10.1k | $23k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-12.1k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $13.1k | $15.5k | $6.86k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.641 | -0.262 | -0.023 |
| Calmar | -0.614 | -0.614 | -0.614 | -0.614 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 25.5 | 25.5 | 25.5 | 25.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 46% | 6% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 24% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 40% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | 3 | 88 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 222 | 4686 | 61014 | 61014 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 24 | 34 | 34 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 104% | 104% |
| Avg entry price | 0.007 | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.008 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.743 | 0.220 | 0.056 | 0.056 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 92% | 86% | 86% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.1 | 1.4 | 19.0 | 19.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 16 | 22 | 22 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Add-to-winner share | 0% | 60% | 53% | 53% |
| Average-down share | 33% | 10% | 37% | 37% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.1624 | 0.1975 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.3374 | 0.2175 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.311 | 0.307 | 0.300 | 0.300 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $0 | $1.9k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 31.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0045 | -0.0045 | -0.0045 | -0.0045 |
| Alpha ($) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.004 | 0.004 | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0005 | -0.0005 | -0.0005 | -0.0005 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 60992 |
| $48.9k |
| $48.9k |
| Worst day | $985 | $-38.5k | $-42.8k | $-42.8k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| $7.34k |
| $1.58k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 100% |
| 95% |
| 27% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 97% | 16% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 87% | 36% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 22% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| Spread capture | -0.0010 | -0.0009 | -0.0017 | -0.0017 |
| Inventory turnover | 222.00 | 4686.00 | 61014.00 | 61014.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | 1.85 | 0.11 |
| Avg ticket | $1 | $2 | $1 | $1 |
| Median ticket | $1 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -9342.00 | -9342.00 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0.56 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $269k | 93% | 133 |
| United States | $24k | 100% | 22 |
| mvp | $15.2k | 100% | 1 |
| NFL Playoffs | $14.1k | 89% | 9 |
| Venezuela | $-11.4k | 75% | 4 |
| patriots | $1.83k | 100% | 1 |
| S&P 500 | $-1.7k | 50% | 2 |
| NCAA | $990 | 100% | 1 |
| Gold | $745 | 100% | 3 |
| Group Futures | $518 | 100% | 2 |
| Politics | $365 | 100% | 2 |
| Trump | $258 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf1cd69d0… | $23k | $38.4k | 59.7% |
| 0x6b3247fa… | $18k | $18.5k | 97.6% |
| 0xe6ed88ba… | $16.6k | $8.44k | 196.2% |
| 0x204d24f3… | $16.2k | $41.2k | 39.4% |
| 0x4ac32c5a… | $15.2k | $44.8k | 33.9% |
| 0xbfa2065a… | $12.1k | $19.1k | 63.5% |
| 0x18d8c593… | $-11.7k | $13.7k | -85.1% |
| 0x3c193f06… | $11.3k | $10.6k | 106.6% |
| 0x029a1627… | $10.4k | $9.6k | 108.3% |
| 0x051e0ea5… | $10.1k | $19.9k | 50.4% |
| 0xd739d12b… | $9.2k | $10.8k | 85.2% |
| 0xfaec71eb… | $8.24k | $8.72k | 94.6% |
| 0xba657f2c… | $7.95k | $7.05k | 112.8% |
| 0x4a2085d9… | $7.5k | $2.5k | 300.0% |
| 0xdfc60555… | $7.12k | $6.24k | 114.3% |
| 60992 |
| 60992 |
| 60992 |