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0x5cae…a00a
0x5caec2331059ed7bbead580c8bc56e2d1896a00a
Tilted GamblerGrade Farchetypes-v1
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.51 and disposition ratio 0.00, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 40.6), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:22:02 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$96.1k
Open PnL
$-64.4k
Max drawdown
$44.3k
Underwater days
42
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $2.08k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.3k | $8.32k | $29.4k | $161k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 93% | 68% |
| ROI | 85% | 68% | 92% | 26% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.419 | -0.010 | 0.096 |
| Markets | 2 | 8 | 27 | 214 |
| Best day | $2.08k | $2.08k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 80.97 | 1.70 |
| Mean trade PnL | $2.3k | $2.08k | $2.1k | $892 |
| Median trade PnL | $2.3k | $2.06k | $1.99k | $504 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 6.23 | 0.81 |
| Largest win | $2.3k | $2.4k | $8.48k | $32.9k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-368 | $-20.3k |
| Expectancy | $2.3k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $775 | $1.99k | $4.49k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | -0.009 | 0.103 |
| Calmar | 2.185 | 2.185 | 2.185 | 2.185 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 29% | 28% | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 63% | 17% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 94% | 28% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 4 | 11 | 31 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 39 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 2 | 27 | 60 | 1626 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 8 | 27 | 214 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 29% | 44% | 46% |
| Avg entry price | 0.520 | 0.517 | 0.511 | 0.462 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.501 | 0.141 | 0.050 | 0.011 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 2% | 2% | 41% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 16.5 | 2.5 | 14.6 | 11.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | 16.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 8 | 26 | 143 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.36 | 0.22 | 0.00 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 75% | 82% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 12% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 100% | 94% | 69% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2116 | 0.1653 | 0.2343 | 0.2504 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2116 | 0.1965 | 0.2411 | 0.2484 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.679 | 0.630 | 0.592 | 0.685 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $923 | $732 | $88 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | 49.0% | 44.1% | 8.3% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0879 | -0.0879 | -0.0879 | -0.0879 |
| Alpha ($) | $-83 | $-83 | $-83 | $-83 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| Contrarian score | -0.188 | -0.188 | -0.188 | -0.188 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0198 | -0.0198 | -0.0198 | -0.0198 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 60.2%
- Scalper: 57.4%
- News Sniper: 48.5%
- Conviction Holder: 34.2%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 28.0%