0x5b6e…f544

0x5b6e80132e843cb8570ee93e448f05f40ef3f544

Tilted GamblerGrade FStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 6.02 and disposition ratio 3.81, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 253.2), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 11:20:09 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$18.5k

Open PnL

$-312k

Max drawdown

$187k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$127k	$196k	N/A
Realized PnL	$0	$33.5k	$225k	$380k
Win rate	N/A	100%	100%	97%
ROI	N/A	425%	445%	255%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	1.200	0.170	0.003
Markets	3	31	160	207
Best day	N/A	$2.65k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	∞	∞	53.49
Mean trade PnL	N/A	$11.2k	$16.1k	$10.6k
Median trade PnL	N/A	$11.5k	$6.34k	$3.66k
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.53
Largest win	N/A	$19.1k	$106k	$106k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-7.24k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	$53.6k	$11.9k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	∞	0.390	0.003
Calmar	0.086	0.086	0.086	0.086
Drawdown duration (days)	62.0	62.0	62.0	62.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	57%	47%	27%
Concentration top-5	N/A	100%	82%	56%
Concentration top-10	N/A	100%	95%	78%
Max win streak	N/A	3	18	23
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	1

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	7	224	2856	5255
Unique markets	3	31	160	207
Active days ratio	100%	100%	80%	10%
Avg entry price	0.055	0.105	0.128	0.127
Portfolio HHI	0.568	0.088	0.092	0.034
Maker share (notional)	13%	33%	50%	67%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	0.0	0.5	2.9	2.7
Holding time median (h)	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4
Max concurrent	3	24	95	129
Disposition ratio	N/A	0.07	0.02	3.81
Add-to-winner share	N/A	34%	27%	35%
Average-down share	N/A	66%	71%	64%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	67%	55%	58%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	0.6135	0.5030	0.4390
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	0.6594	0.5635	0.4918
Entry timing mean	0.989	0.870	0.917	0.478
Exit quality ($)	N/A	$-0	$2k	$531
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	-0.0%	0.7%	-1.4%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0105	0.0105	0.0105	0.0105
Alpha ($)	$1.93k	$1.93k	$1.93k	$1.93k
Alpha ROI gap	70.4%	70.4%	70.4%	70.4%
Contrarian score	0.421	0.421	0.421	0.421
Post-fill drift	0.0014	0.0014	0.0014	0.0014
Post-fill candles (mean)	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 98.1%
News Sniper: 78.5%
Scalper: 57.0%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 37.7%
Favorite Grinder: 32.1%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 6.82e-9; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xc42db6355c… entry 0.261 timing 1.00
0x776956c518… entry 0.235
0x5b36501c34… entry 0.120 timing 1.00
0xa7b5b123f9… entry 0.154
0x64cb21968c… entry 0.100
0x9f0b598db1… entry 0.260
0x2a77a51a3a… entry 0.154
0xbc0b15aaa2… entry 0.160
0xa7ce8ecccf… entry 0.250 timing 0.99
0xcf89c540b5… entry 0.300 timing 0.51

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0x5b6e…f544

0x5b6e80132e843cb8570ee93e448f05f40ef3f544

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 6.02 and disposition ratio 3.81, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 253.2), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$127k

$196k

N/A

Realized PnL

$33.5k

$225k

$380k

Win rate

N/A

100%

97%

ROI

N/A

425%

445%

255%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

1.200

0.170

0.003

Markets

160

207

Best day

N/A

$2.65k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

∞

53.49

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$11.2k

$16.1k

$10.6k

Median trade PnL

N/A

$11.5k

$6.34k

$3.66k

Payoff ratio

N/A

1.53

Largest win

N/A

$19.1k

$106k

Largest loss

N/A

$-7.24k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$53.6k

$11.9k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

∞

0.390

0.003

Calmar

0.086

Drawdown duration (days)

62.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

57%

47%

27%

Concentration top-5

N/A

100%

82%

56%

Concentration top-10

N/A

100%

95%

78%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

224

2856

5255

Unique markets

160

207

Active days ratio

100%

80%

10%

Avg entry price

0.055

0.105

0.128

0.127

Portfolio HHI

0.568

0.088

0.092

0.034

Maker share (notional)

13%

33%

50%

67%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

0.0

0.5

2.9

2.7

Holding time median (h)

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.4

Max concurrent

129

Disposition ratio

N/A

0.07

0.02

3.81

Add-to-winner share

N/A

34%

27%

35%

Average-down share

N/A

66%

71%

64%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

67%

55%

58%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.6135

0.5030

0.4390

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.6594

0.5635

0.4918

Entry timing mean

0.989

0.870

0.917

0.478

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$-0

$2k

$531

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

-0.0%

0.7%

-1.4%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0105

Alpha ($)

$1.93k

Alpha ROI gap

70.4%

Contrarian score

0.421

Post-fill drift

0.0014

Post-fill candles (mean)

4.4

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 98.1%

News Sniper: 78.5%

Scalper: 57.0%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 37.7%

Favorite Grinder: 32.1%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 6.82e-9; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xc42db6355c… entry 0.261 timing 1.00
0x776956c518… entry 0.235
0x5b36501c34… entry 0.120 timing 1.00
0xa7b5b123f9… entry 0.154
0x64cb21968c… entry 0.100
0x9f0b598db1… entry 0.260
0x2a77a51a3a… entry 0.154
0xbc0b15aaa2… entry 0.160
0xa7ce8ecccf… entry 0.250 timing 0.99
0xcf89c540b5… entry 0.300 timing 0.51

Sports	$371k	97%	32
India	$3.89k	100%	2
Up or Down	$2.84k	100%	1
US Election	$2.54k	100%	1

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xa7b5b123…	$106k	$19.3k	549.4%
0x40b79a54…	$31.9k	$9k	353.8%
0x4d39d238…	$29k	$10k	290.2%
0x2e74d617…	$28.8k	$15k	192.0%
0x354b99e9…	$26k	$19k	136.5%
0x776956c5…	$19.1k	$5.88k	325.5%
0x5b36501c…	$18.3k	$2.5k	733.3%
0xff096f89…	$17.5k	$15k	116.7%
0xadf4acda…	$11.5k	$1k	1150.0%
0x889e0fa1…	$11.2k	$795	1408.7%
0x64cb2196…	$6.75k	$750	900.0%
0xe715ed16…	$5.92k	$1.57k	376.2%
0xe0ac3a33…	$5.88k	$14.1k	41.6%
0x232342e2…	$5.77k	$3.03k	190.2%
0xde371452…	$4.94k	$2.54k	194.8%

0x5b6e…f544

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x5b6e…f544

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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