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0x56813812fc837eedb614d8c231787f83a865e113
Secondary: Early-Bird Forecaster
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 9 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.37 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 0.2 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Early-Bird Forecaster, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:17:24 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 88% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 97% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.054 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Best day | N/A | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 14.66 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $150k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $102k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.09 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $498k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-196k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $80.7k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | ∞ | 0.049 |
| Calmar | 2.160 | 2.160 | 2.160 | 2.160 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 70% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 98% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 6 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1505 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 10% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.401 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.076 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 63% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 14 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.19 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2824 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2886 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.368 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-1.96k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.4205 | -0.4205 | -0.4205 | -0.4205 |
| Alpha ($) | $60.8k | $60.8k | $60.8k | $60.8k |
| Alpha ROI gap | 436.8% | 436.8% | 436.8% | 436.8% |
| Contrarian score | -0.518 | -0.518 | -0.518 | -0.518 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.4088 | -0.4088 | -0.4088 | -0.4088 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $0 |
| $961k |
| Worst day | N/A | $0 | $0 | $-575k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| N/A |
| $150k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 83% | 23% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 68% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 50% | 9% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 7% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0001 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1505.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.54 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2.85k |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $89 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -63.77 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | N/A | 9 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 1.45 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $2.41M | 92% | 12 |
| Esports | $296k | 75% | 4 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa7aeaaae… | $430k | $570k | 75.4% |
| 0x08c4b6f6… | $390k | $110k | 354.5% |
| 0x1f3b7d8a… | $369k | $335k | 110.1% |
| 0xef6a51a5… | $302k | $561k | 53.8% |
| 0xc56b9ae1… | $285k | $348k | 81.8% |
| 0x4cda3fc9… | $284k | $297k | 95.6% |
| 0xd13767a7… | $213k | $191k | 111.1% |
| 0xdefad36f… | $171k | $114k | 150.0% |
| 0x1c7d3152… | $126k | $87.5k | 143.9% |
| 0xdcee433a… | $78.2k | $47k | 166.5% |
| 0x59d48038… | $48k | $27k | 177.8% |
| 0x688b4021… | $4.96k | $20.7k | 23.9% |
| 0x9944d3a0… | $4.95k | $6.29k | 78.6% |
| 0x7aa11f47… | $153 | $173 | 88.7% |
| 0x8597f620… | $0 | $57.5k | 0.0% |
| 903 |
| 903 |
| 903 |
| 903 |