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0x54b5…4b31
0x54b56146656e7eef9da02b3a030c18e06e924b31
Tilted GamblerGrade Carchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 3.84 and disposition ratio 1.53, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 74.4), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:20:08 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$262k
Open PnL
$-2.77k
Max drawdown
$157k
Underwater days
98
Equity curve
Board ranks
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $94.8k | $64.9k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $88.7k | $114k | $17.9k | $17.9k |
| Win rate | 64% | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| ROI | 10% | 9% | 1% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.687 | 0.050 | 0.063 |
| Markets | 26 | 106 | 278 | 1364 |
| Best day | $-151 | $51.8k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 10.94 | 5.67 | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Mean trade PnL | $8.06k | $3.44k | $72 | $72 |
| Median trade PnL | $55 | $-13 | $-126 | $-126 |
| Payoff ratio | 6.25 | 7.69 | 2.55 | 2.55 |
| Largest win | $76.4k | $76.4k | $76.4k | $76.4k |
| Largest loss | $-8.47k | $-13.6k | $-26.4k | $-26.4k |
| Expectancy | $8.06k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $19.7k | $28.7k | $7.68k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.057 | 40.379 | 0.037 | 0.050 |
| Calmar | 1.675 | 1.675 | 1.675 | 1.675 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 27.0 | 27.0 | 27.0 | 27.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 72% | 47% | 14% | 14% |
| Concentration top-5 | 99% | 89% | 29% | 29% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 98% | 42% | 42% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 10 | 35 | 35 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 1138 | 3796 | 17759 | 71407 |
| Unique markets | 26 | 106 | 278 | 1364 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 101% |
| Avg entry price | 0.453 | 0.368 | 0.299 | 0.378 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.246 | 0.285 | 0.107 | 0.020 |
| Maker share (notional) | 98% | 98% | 76% | 76% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.4 | 31.3 | 55.0 | 141.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 5.2 | 42.1 | 4.1 | 24.9 |
| Max concurrent | 16 | 86 | 195 | 1001 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.69 | 0.57 | 0.89 | 1.53 |
| Add-to-winner share | 26% | 90% | 49% | 62% |
| Average-down share | 74% | 7% | 47% | 35% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.91 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 40% | 50% | 60% | 72% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2258 | 0.1597 | 0.1141 | 0.1141 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1867 | 0.1369 | 0.1002 | 0.1002 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.902 | 0.900 | 0.921 | 0.764 |
| Exit quality ($) | $1.13k | $5.61k | $425 | $425 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 1.2% | 22.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0271 | 0.0271 | 0.0271 | 0.0271 |
| Alpha ($) | $3.13k | $3.13k | $3.13k | $3.13k |
| Alpha ROI gap | 16.9% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
| Contrarian score | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.019 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0119 | -0.0119 | -0.0119 | -0.0119 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 75.3%
- Scalper: 49.8%
- News Sniper: 44.8%
- Conviction Holder: 31.1%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 28.3%