Loading trader…
0x53e5…6177
0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 4.50 and disposition ratio 0.40, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 307.7), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:18:09 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$523k
Open PnL
$-68.8k
Max drawdown
$516k
Underwater days
305
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $525k |
| Realized PnL | $1.89k | $1.89k | $-180k | $890k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 44% | 48% |
| ROI | 139% | 139% | -7% | 11% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.226 | -0.022 | 0.017 |
| Markets | 4 | 8 | 50 | 125 |
| Best day | $-1.08k | $27.2k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 0.36 | 1.82 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.89k | $1.89k | $-4.39k | $3.56k |
| Median trade PnL | $1.89k | $1.89k | $-95 | $-22 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.46 | 1.97 |
| Largest win | $1.89k | $1.89k | $28.3k | $449k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-85.8k | $-97.6k |
| Expectancy | $1.89k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $12.8k | $114k | $39.5k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.259 | -0.023 | 0.021 |
| Calmar | 0.797 | 0.797 | 0.797 | 0.797 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 32.4 | 32.4 | 32.4 | 32.4 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 100% | 23% | 15% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 59% | 34% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 78% | 49% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 18 | 18 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 34 | 104 | 999 | 3426 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 8 | 50 | 125 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 97% | 93% |
| Avg entry price | 0.206 | 0.291 | 0.476 | 0.468 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.769 | 0.186 | 0.083 | 0.063 |
| Maker share (notional) | 91% | 54% | 51% | 67% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.9 | 48.3 | 39.6 | 78.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 42.8 | 20.6 | 23.3 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 5 | 31 | 68 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 8.70 | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | N/A | 97% | 82% |
| Average-down share | 0% | N/A | 2% | 17% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 100% | 58% | 55% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.3373 | 0.3373 | 0.0822 | 0.1263 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3373 | 0.3373 | 0.1460 | 0.1176 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.649 | 0.919 | 0.814 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $595 | $-1.22k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | -3.5% | 11.5% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1294 | -0.1294 | -0.1294 | -0.1294 |
| Alpha ($) | $-22.3k | $-22.3k | $-22.3k | $-22.3k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -22.0% | -22.0% | -22.0% | -22.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.284 | 0.284 | 0.284 | 0.284 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0554 | -0.0554 | -0.0554 | -0.0554 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- Scalper: 38.6%
- News Sniper: 35.4%
- Conviction Holder: 29.8%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 19.9%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 1.88e-12; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xd5d9fc4771… entry 0.289 timing 0.73
- 0xc0be7b1f19… entry 0.250
- 0x773abaa5fe… entry 0.213
- 0x30a892ea01… entry 0.106
- 0x561cd8d035… entry 0.299
- 0x61ce377323… entry 0.129
- 0xbd60361789… entry 0.034
- 0x74d513ded7… entry 0.070
- 0x2e94bb8dd0… entry 0.240
- 0x291f0f6023… entry 0.194
- 0xdc4b9ecbfa… entry 0.116
- 0x9bf7b96169… entry 0.144
- 0x3488f31e64… entry 0.160
- 0xb8526689ca… entry 0.205