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0x53c48faa2373f597b693567f79c3782c6ce7740b
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
91% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (87%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.57).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:17:14 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $25.4k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $-1.78k | $8.34k | $20k |
| Win rate | N/A | 80% | 86% | 87% |
| ROI | N/A | -8% | 5% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.257 | 0.061 | -0.002 |
| Markets | 2 | 8 | 25 | 73 |
| Best day | $-648 | $26.5k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 0.35 | 2.59 | 3.67 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $-357 | $595 | $434 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $31 | $191 | $55 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.09 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| Largest win | N/A | $610 | $4.71k | $4.71k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-2.73k | $-2.73k | $-2.73k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $14.1k | $12.2k | $5.2k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.255 | 0.044 | -0.001 |
| Calmar | -0.036 | -0.036 | -0.036 | -0.036 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 74% | 25% | 14% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 79% | 48% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 99% | 76% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 3 | 6 | 17 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 3 | 131 | 810 | 1818 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 8 | 25 | 73 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 79% | 35% |
| Avg entry price | 0.780 | 0.422 | 0.628 | 0.693 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.520 | 0.314 | 0.127 | 0.193 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 82% | 83% | 64% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 14.1 | 77.2 | 116.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 14.1 | 14.3 | 40.4 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 7 | 16 | 49 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.10 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 25% | 74% | 40% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 46% | 7% | 26% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 100% | 38% | 63% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0256 | 0.0023 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.1326 | 0.1294 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.266 | 0.866 | 0.710 | 0.678 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $-911 | $-369 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | 7.0% | 8.9% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0112 | 0.0112 | 0.0112 | 0.0112 |
| Alpha ($) | $-5.69k | $-5.69k | $-5.69k | $-5.69k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -17.6% | -17.6% | -17.6% | -17.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.338 | -0.338 | -0.338 | -0.338 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0027 | 0.0027 | 0.0027 | 0.0027 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $26.5k |
| $26.5k |
| Worst day | $-648 | $-20.1k | $-45.4k | $-45.4k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-357 |
| $595 |
| $434 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 50% | 67% | 73% | 8% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 91% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 4% |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.1665 | 0.0352 | -0.0064 |
| Inventory turnover | 3.00 | 131.00 | 810.00 | 1818.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 0.88 | 1.12 | 1.56 |
| Avg ticket | $150 | $145 | $235 | $1.57k |
| Median ticket | $129 | $12 | $4 | $21 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -107.40 | 2.60 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 2.17 |
| 26.12 |
| 1.46 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $6.98k | 84% | 19 |
| Finance | $5.46k | 90% | 10 |
| fomc | $4.72k | 75% | 4 |
| Crypto | $2.09k | 100% | 2 |
| Soccer | $610 | 100% | 1 |
| Big Tech | $-569 | 0% | 1 |
| Venezuela | $315 | 100% | 1 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $276 | 100% | 1 |
| Oil | $53 | 100% | 2 |
| FDV | $15 | 100% | 1 |
| SPX | $13 | 100% | 2 |
| Japan | $0 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x30d55d81… | $4.71k | $58.4k | 8.1% |
| 0x6903b766… | $4.12k | $686k | 0.6% |
| 0x7976b8db… | $-2.73k | $14k | -19.5% |
| 0x9b6fef24… | $-2.51k | $8.26k | -30.4% |
| 0xb2140927… | $2.51k | $47.6k | 5.3% |
| 0xd594753a… | $2.4k | $23.9k | 10.0% |
| 0x73cdf481… | $2.35k | $1.65k | 142.4% |
| 0x293fb49f… | $2.08k | $451k | 0.5% |
| 0x00cf3efc… | $1.58k | $24.7k | 6.4% |
| 0xcb111226… | $1.46k | $9.76k | 14.9% |
| 0x5f5818ce… | $1k | $8.4k | 11.9% |
| 0xfcd2fb66… | $-1k | $2.2k | -45.4% |
| 0x6c3263de… | $911 | $1.16k | 78.6% |
| 0x2d1492e3… | $610 | $2.67k | 22.8% |
| 0x8cd0e360… | $-586 | $586 | -100.0% |
| 517 |
| 517 |
| 517 |
| 517 |