0x533c789d479d445186ff8ec132fa7a27541c2658
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 4.83 and disposition ratio 1.13, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 396.8), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:14:46 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $44.6k | N/A | $75.5k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $46.4k | $45.6k | $146k | $122k |
| Win rate | 50% | 50% | 47% | 50% |
| ROI | 18% | 12% | 16% | 10% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.019 | 0.129 | -0.047 |
| Markets | 13 | 24 | 51 | 90 |
| Best day | $40.5k | $40.5k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 3.40 | 2.70 | 2.84 | 1.89 |
| Mean trade PnL | $3.87k | $2.54k | $3.39k | $1.61k |
| Median trade PnL | $79 | $100 | $-3 | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | 3.40 | 2.70 | 3.26 | 1.89 |
| Largest win | $44k | $44k | $78.2k | $78.2k |
| Largest loss | $-13k | $-13k | $-27.1k | $-27.1k |
| Expectancy | $3.87k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $23.9k | $19.4k | $10.3k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.015 | 0.118 | -0.028 |
| Calmar | -0.457 | -0.457 | -0.457 | -0.457 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 137.5 | 137.5 | 137.5 | 137.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 52% | 44% | 26% | 20% |
| Concentration top-5 | 96% | 83% | 63% | 50% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 98% | 82% | 69% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 144 | 327 | 1170 | 2895 |
| Unique markets | 13 | 24 | 51 | 90 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 86% | 88% | 29% |
| Avg entry price | 0.633 | 0.636 | 0.583 | 0.586 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.196 | 0.091 | 0.072 | 0.048 |
| Maker share (notional) | 16% | 10% | 7% | 17% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.9 | 6.0 | 12.9 | 56.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.7 | 7.4 | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| Max concurrent | 9 | 21 | 43 | 65 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.40 | 8.92 | 0.60 | 1.13 |
| Add-to-winner share | 21% | 40% | 16% | 20% |
| Average-down share | 77% | 48% | 80% | 76% |
| Tilt ratio | 3.22 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 78% | 75% | 76% | 65% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1789 | 0.1778 | 0.1579 | 0.1976 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2160 | 0.2445 | 0.2047 | 0.2103 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.987 | 0.935 | 0.848 | 0.837 |
| Exit quality ($) | $2.53k | $-2.48k | $1.63k | $1.74k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 24.1% | -3.2% | 7.2% | -9.5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0541 | 0.0541 | 0.0541 | 0.0541 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.01k | $-2.01k | $-2.01k | $-2.01k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -29.0% | -29.0% | -29.0% | -29.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.060 | -0.060 | -0.060 | -0.060 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0414 | 0.0414 | 0.0414 | 0.0414 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $65.6k |
| $65.6k |
| Worst day | $40.5k | $-41.5k | $-41.5k | $-96.3k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $2.54k |
| $3.39k |
| $1.61k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 50% | 27% | 13% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 50% | 20% | 33% | 48% | 15% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 50% | 58% | 52% | 53% | 66% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 67% | 78% | 7% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 144.00 | 327.00 | 1170.00 | 2895.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.00 | 1.66 | 1.56 | 1.64 |
| Avg ticket | $1.79k | $1.9k | $1.21k | $667 |
| Median ticket | $40 | $39 | $8 | $10 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -143.20 | 5.86 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 3.44 |
| 3.61 |
| 4.83 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $110k | 54% | 57 |
| Culture | $9.79k | 67% | 6 |
| Bitcoin | $4.06k | 100% | 1 |
| Soccer | $1.17k | 50% | 2 |
| Up or Down | $-940 | 25% | 4 |
| logan paul | $-912 | 0% | 1 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $-847 | 0% | 2 |
| uncategorized | $-339 | 0% | 1 |
| Reality TV | $-8 | 0% | 1 |
| YouTube | $-3 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc851fc5a… | $78.2k | $192k | 40.6% |
| 0x029737e7… | $44k | $101k | 43.7% |
| 0xe715ed16… | $-27.1k | $27.1k | -100.0% |
| 0xeb83b484… | $26.6k | $23.4k | 114.0% |
| 0x628679ec… | $-21.6k | $29k | -74.6% |
| 0xb77a9010… | $-18.7k | $36.5k | -51.1% |
| 0x3c995fa8… | $17k | $33k | 51.5% |
| 0xe9d96f95… | $14k | $36k | 38.9% |
| 0xfd565955… | $-11.3k | $27.5k | -41.0% |
| 0xcf82e410… | $-9.74k | $17.8k | -54.7% |
| 0xe479113b… | $9.6k | $20.4k | 47.1% |
| 0xaeec5397… | $8.64k | $23.4k | 37.0% |
| 0x9b6fef24… | $-7.78k | $117k | -6.7% |
| 0x97f1f944… | $6.32k | $24.2k | 26.1% |
| 0x7f573678… | $-6.17k | $22.1k | -27.9% |
| 461 |
| 461 |
| 461 |
| 461 |