0x52ec…a6f3

0x52ecea7b3159f09db589e4f4ee64872fd0bba6f3

Favorite GrinderGrade BStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.

78% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (72%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.72).

That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.

Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 11:01:40 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$793k

Open PnL

$-610k

Max drawdown

$76.2k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$35.3k	$90.9k	$793k
Realized PnL	$54.2k	$103k	$184k	∞
Win rate	75%	65%	69%	72%
ROI	13%	4%	3%	5%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.337	0.236	0.193
Markets	7	49	86	86
Best day	$0	$27.1k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	1.71	1.52	1.51	1.86
Mean trade PnL	$6.77k	$1.61k	$1.11k	$833
Median trade PnL	$4.83k	$159	$353	$170
Payoff ratio	0.57	0.81	0.68	0.72
Largest win	$73.7k	$73.7k	$73.7k	$81.7k
Largest loss	$-76k	$-76k	$-76k	$-76k
Expectancy	$6.77k

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$15k	$11.3k	$11.1k
Sortino (daily)	0.181	0.181	0.194	0.181
Calmar	10.389	10.389	10.389	10.389
Drawdown duration (days)	66.0	66.0	66.0	66.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	73%	30%	17%	2%
Concentration top-5	100%	51%	36%	8%
Concentration top-10	100%	67%	48%	13%
Max win streak	4	5	6	23
Max loss streak	2	3	3	6

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	594	2372	4500	4500
Unique markets	7	49	86	86
Active days ratio	200%	86%	80%	80%
Avg entry price	0.448	0.659	0.663	0.663
Portfolio HHI	0.308	0.047	0.025	0.025
Maker share (notional)	70%	48%	54%	54%
Two-sided share	57%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4
Holding time median (h)	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
Max concurrent	6	40	69	69
Disposition ratio	1.17	0.20	0.25	0.25
Add-to-winner share	36%	33%	36%	36%
Average-down share	55%	64%	58%	58%
Tilt ratio	0.20

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	60%	69%	66%	66%
Brier (weighted)	0.0236	0.0201	0.0226	0.0277
Brier (unweighted)	0.2375	0.0839	0.0811	0.1040
Entry timing mean	0.861	0.697	0.773	0.773
Exit quality ($)	$-1.07k	$245	$29	$-83
Exit quality ROI gap	318.8%	172.3%	116.3%	220.5%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0516	0.0516	0.0516	0.0516
Alpha ($)	$9.64k	$9.64k	$9.64k	$9.64k
Alpha ROI gap	70.8%	70.8%	70.8%	70.8%
Contrarian score	-0.338	-0.338	-0.338	-0.338
Post-fill drift	0.0531	0.0531	0.0531	0.0531
Post-fill candles (mean)	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Favorite Grinder: 72.8%
Contrarian Fader: 59.2%
Scalper: 55.2%
News Sniper: 48.6%
Tilted Gambler: 30.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.86e-219; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x0a64330f95… entry 0.130
0xac6dd0094f… entry 0.170
0x2c646e317f… entry 0.228
0xdbe98f3ca1… entry 0.067
0x2ac277147e… entry 0.053
0x2d070f10d8… entry 0.271
0xf7c20d2cc8… entry 0.263
0x1e0e1e41f8… entry 0.120
0x823b253456… entry 0.249
0x4bea3fe369… entry 0.277
0x87a2d153b5… entry 0.111
0xde42fdaf52… entry 0.220
0xe12690a9cc… entry 0.250
0xa28b4024f3… entry 0.050
0xbd6ef1f72b… entry 0.243
0x172c084ef0… entry 0.276
0x6cb62aad9b… entry 0.133
0xdb67fa55b9… entry 0.080
0x0385780427… entry 0.058
0x978588a812… entry 0.049
0x4d88ac8c3c… entry 0.100

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0x52ec…a6f3

0x52ecea7b3159f09db589e4f4ee64872fd0bba6f3

This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.

78% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (72%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.72).

That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.

Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$35.3k

$90.9k

$793k

Realized PnL

$54.2k

$103k

$184k

∞

Win rate

75%

65%

69%

72%

ROI

13%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.337

0.236

0.193

Markets

Best day

$27.1k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

1.71

1.52

1.51

1.86

Mean trade PnL

$6.77k

$1.61k

$1.11k

$833

Median trade PnL

$4.83k

$159

$353

$170

Payoff ratio

0.57

0.81

0.68

0.72

Largest win

$73.7k

$81.7k

Largest loss

$-76k

Expectancy

$6.77k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$15k

$11.3k

$11.1k

Sortino (daily)

0.181

0.194

0.181

Calmar

10.389

Drawdown duration (days)

66.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

73%

30%

17%

Concentration top-5

100%

51%

36%

Concentration top-10

100%

67%

48%

13%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

594

2372

4500

Unique markets

Active days ratio

200%

86%

80%

Avg entry price

0.448

0.659

0.663

Portfolio HHI

0.308

0.047

0.025

Maker share (notional)

70%

48%

54%

Two-sided share

57%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

0.3

0.4

Holding time median (h)

0.1

0.0

Max concurrent

Disposition ratio

1.17

0.20

0.25

Add-to-winner share

36%

33%

36%

Average-down share

55%

64%

58%

Tilt ratio

0.20

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

60%

69%

66%

Brier (weighted)

0.0236

0.0201

0.0226

0.0277

Brier (unweighted)

0.2375

0.0839

0.0811

0.1040

Entry timing mean

0.861

0.697

0.773

Exit quality ($)

$-1.07k

$245

$29

$-83

Exit quality ROI gap

318.8%

172.3%

116.3%

220.5%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0516

Alpha ($)

$9.64k

Alpha ROI gap

70.8%

Contrarian score

-0.338

Post-fill drift

0.0531

Post-fill candles (mean)

2.5

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Favorite Grinder: 72.8%

Contrarian Fader: 59.2%

Scalper: 55.2%

News Sniper: 48.6%

Tilted Gambler: 30.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.86e-219; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x0a64330f95… entry 0.130
0xac6dd0094f… entry 0.170
0x2c646e317f… entry 0.228
0xdbe98f3ca1… entry 0.067
0x2ac277147e… entry 0.053
0x2d070f10d8… entry 0.271
0xf7c20d2cc8… entry 0.263
0x1e0e1e41f8… entry 0.120
0x823b253456… entry 0.249
0x4bea3fe369… entry 0.277
0x87a2d153b5… entry 0.111
0xde42fdaf52… entry 0.220
0xe12690a9cc… entry 0.250
0xa28b4024f3… entry 0.050
0xbd6ef1f72b… entry 0.243
0x172c084ef0… entry 0.276
0x6cb62aad9b… entry 0.133
0xdb67fa55b9… entry 0.080
0x0385780427… entry 0.058
0x978588a812… entry 0.049
0x4d88ac8c3c… entry 0.100

Esports	$1.74M	70%	1891
Sports	$92.1k	84%	305
Geopolitics	$60	100%	1
Politics	$0	N/A	0

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xf4fb7a8c…	$95.2k	$37.1k	256.4%
0x3ec95adb…	$69.5k	$80.2k	86.7%
0x8db6193b…	$64.2k	$75.8k	84.8%
0x3b0f5840…	$37.7k	$95.6k	39.5%
0x3a685c50…	$34.7k	$14.8k	234.2%
0x6b049bc3…	$30.4k	$5.4k	561.7%
0x2e287530…	$29k	$126k	23.1%
0x6039ef42…	$29k	$26.8k	108.1%
0x8cb9c229…	$26.7k	$71.9k	37.2%
0xe6c69226…	$26.6k	$15.1k	176.3%
0xa6bef740…	$26.4k	$138k	19.1%
0xeb405978…	$-25.1k	$115k	-21.8%
0x77625a91…	$23.3k	$39k	59.7%
0x71e49242…	$22.5k	$9.63k	233.4%
0x94dd33f5…	$22.3k	$131k	17.1%

0x52ec…a6f3

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x52ec…a6f3

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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