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0x519b0d49a99c794e2c721b6ad8bc010fdc20624e
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
78% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (67%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.54).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:34:20 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.14k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $5 | $1.56k | $6.91k | $11.5k |
| Win rate | 100% | 77% | 72% | 67% |
| ROI | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.425 | 0.112 | 0.055 |
| Markets | 3 | 12 | 48 | 276 |
| Best day | $-39 | $989 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 10.17 | 1.34 | 1.09 |
| Mean trade PnL | $3 | $120 | $113 | $46 |
| Median trade PnL | $3 | $13 | $33 | $22 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 3.05 | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| Largest win | $4 | $989 | $6.71k | $13.3k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-130 | $-8.71k | $-12.9k |
| Expectancy | $3 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $368 | $1.99k | $2.11k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.044 | 0.036 |
| Calmar | 1.121 | 1.121 | 1.121 | 1.121 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 79.5 | 79.5 | 79.5 | 79.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 75% | 52% | 18% | 8% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 96% | 57% | 24% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 77% | 39% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 18 | 196 | 1385 | 12973 |
| Unique markets | 3 | 12 | 48 | 276 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 77% | 58% |
| Avg entry price | 0.740 | 0.750 | 0.748 | 0.597 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.891 | 0.222 | 0.043 | 0.010 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 63% | 76% | 76% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 5.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 6 | 24 | 164 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 20% | 22% | 73% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 80% | 78% | 26% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 50% | 45% | 52% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0120 | 0.0004 | 0.0233 | 0.0447 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0423 | 0.0090 | 0.0865 | 0.0961 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.268 | 0.362 | 0.314 | 0.426 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-6 | $6 | $0 | $876 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -18.3% | 5.9% | -1.5% | 4.4% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0101 | 0.0101 | 0.0101 | 0.0101 |
| Alpha ($) | $-23 | $-23 | $-23 | $-23 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.785 | -0.785 | -0.785 | -0.785 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0119 | 0.0119 | 0.0119 | 0.0119 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $3.54k |
| $12.1k |
| Worst day | $-39 | $-39 | $-8.69k | $-9.72k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $120 |
| $113 |
| $46 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 33% |
| 11% |
| 8% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 0% | 25% | 9% | 5% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 54% | 7% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 64% | 62% | 10% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 94% | 95% | 78% |
| 17% |
| 29% |
| 29% |
| Spread capture | -0.0300 | -0.0472 | -0.0042 | 0.0208 |
| Inventory turnover | 18.00 | 196.00 | 1385.00 | 12973.00 |
| Capital velocity | 20.01 | 1.03 | 1.01 | 1.36 |
| Avg ticket | $255 | $764 | $552 | $352 |
| Median ticket | $16 | $30 | $56 | $21 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -90.80 | 17.99 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 0.79 |
| 1.78 |
| 2.95 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $13.1k | 67% | 247 |
| Iran | $-1.55k | 50% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4ad0e089… | $13.3k | $20.3k | 65.4% |
| 0xcf89c540… | $9.74k | $117k | 8.3% |
| 0x29814670… | $-9.71k | $13k | -74.5% |
| 0x08a79152… | $8.74k | $10.5k | 83.5% |
| 0xc02ea86a… | $-8.69k | $21k | -41.4% |
| 0xde371452… | $-6.94k | $32.4k | -21.4% |
| 0x1bd449e1… | $6.71k | $37.4k | 17.9% |
| 0x5c954ceb… | $-6.51k | $28.2k | -23.1% |
| 0xc8e277f7… | $6.42k | $8.22k | 78.0% |
| 0xfa98e1d8… | $-6.19k | $65.7k | -9.4% |
| 0xf8b51c68… | $-5.37k | $51.8k | -10.4% |
| 0xfe4dec8b… | $-5.29k | $53k | -10.0% |
| 0x001a96c4… | $5.02k | $11.3k | 44.6% |
| 0x7d4f1853… | $-4.48k | $4.53k | -98.9% |
| 0x69f3fc30… | $-3.78k | $63.9k | -5.9% |
| 58 |
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