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0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 22666 with median hold 8.9 hours, maker share only 19%.
Capital velocity 0.3 and held-to-resolution 89% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:00:22 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $3.57k | $52.5k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.78k | $18.6k | $48.3k | $48.3k |
| Win rate | 62% | 49% | 45% | 45% |
| ROI | 20% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.536 | 0.057 | 0.165 |
| Markets | 107 | 3376 | 4742 | 4742 |
| Best day | $5.27k | $37.3k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 125.53 | 1.17 | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Mean trade PnL | $28 | $4 | $5 | $5 |
| Median trade PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | 77.25 | 1.20 | 1.37 | 1.37 |
| Largest win | $2.28k | $39k | $39k | $39k |
| Largest loss | $-14 | $-16k | $-16k | $-16k |
| Expectancy | $28 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $14k | $16.1k | $16.9k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.130 | 6.452 | 0.052 | 0.130 |
| Calmar | 2.685 | 2.685 | 2.685 | 2.685 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 81% | 17% | 5% | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | 97% | 38% | 13% | 13% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 48% | 20% | 20% |
| Max win streak | 8 | 23 | 26 | 26 |
| Max loss streak | 4 | 33 | 36 | 36 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 232 | 10852 | 22666 | 22666 |
| Unique markets | 107 | 3376 | 4742 | 4742 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 94% | 94% |
| Avg entry price | 0.188 | 0.429 | 0.556 | 0.556 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.107 | 0.005 | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 23% | 19% | 19% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 5.7 | 27.5 | 19.4 | 19.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | 5.3 | 26.9 | 8.9 | 8.9 |
| Max concurrent | 107 | 2898 | 4001 | 4001 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.97 | 4.16 | 8.85 | 8.85 |
| Add-to-winner share | 59% | 56% | 61% | 61% |
| Average-down share | 23% | 34% | 30% | 30% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.88 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 89% | 89% | 89% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2852 | 0.1631 | 0.0559 | 0.0559 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2902 | 0.1114 | 0.1002 | 0.1002 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.875 | 0.533 | 0.613 | 0.613 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-92 | $4 | $-14 | $-14 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -185.5% | 59.1% | 149.2% | 149.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0343 | -0.0343 | -0.0343 | -0.0343 |
| Alpha ($) | $203 | $203 | $203 | $203 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -12.0% | -12.0% | -12.0% | -12.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0056 | -0.0056 | -0.0056 | -0.0056 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $37.5k |
| $77.2k |
| Worst day | $5.27k | $-1.03k | $-36.5k | $-104k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $4 |
| $5 |
| $5 |
| <0.10 |
| 100% |
| 99% |
| 98% |
| 98% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 97% | 97% | 97% | 2% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 98% | 95% | 95% | 5% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 67% | 90% | 82% | 82% | 13% |
| >0.90 | 30% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 80% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 232.00 | 10852.00 | 22666.00 | 22666.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.04 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Avg ticket | $62 | $24 | $34 | $34 |
| Median ticket | $5 | $8 | $8 | $8 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -4224.00 | -4224.00 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.85 |
| 0.70 |
| 0.70 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-36.9k | 42% | 1465 |
| primary elections | $20.2k | 43% | 128 |
| Peru | $18.6k | 100% | 1 |
| Politics | $13.1k | 55% | 321 |
| Culture | $11.5k | 46% | 156 |
| Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec | $-10.3k | 39% | 18 |
| Finance | $9.41k | 41% | 22 |
| Group Futures | $7.43k | 71% | 17 |
| NBA | $-7.11k | 29% | 95 |
| Tech | $5.36k | 39% | 166 |
| AI | $5.04k | 44% | 175 |
| Soccer | $4.9k | 57% | 363 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8bf1c153… | $39.3k | $4.13k | 950.1% |
| 0x2cd24d17… | $18.6k | $81.9k | 22.8% |
| 0x2a28cc33… | $-16k | $52.3k | -30.6% |
| 0x3d675f1c… | $-15.9k | $51.2k | -31.2% |
| 0x763a7f1e… | $11.1k | $199 | 5586.8% |
| 0x4ede078c… | $-11k | $55.7k | -19.8% |
| 0x20aa1249… | $9.54k | $2.17k | 440.0% |
| 0x3e97dfcd… | $9.19k | $575 | 1600.0% |
| 0x600caea7… | $6.6k | $413 | 1600.0% |
| 0x39438361… | $6.52k | $4.14k | 157.6% |
| 0x3616e2f2… | $6.25k | $1.18k | 529.6% |
| 0x3ff129c6… | $5.81k | $444 | 1308.0% |
| 0x90c6511d… | $5.3k | $18 | 29028.1% |
| 0x502a94e5… | $5.18k | $3.73k | 139.0% |
| 0xd2a472c0… | $5.13k | $195 | 2633.8% |
| 1210 |
| 1210 |
| 1210 |
| 1210 |