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0x4ef6956d36e7f0836bbe9b49516d79381acb958a
This wallet is categorized as a Conviction Holder because it concentrates in few markets and holds for long stretches.
Median hold is 8.4 hours with held-to-resolution 100% and portfolio HHI 0.63.
Trade count stays relatively low (40) while add-to-winner share is 75%, favoring concentrating rather than spraying fills.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:50:24 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $31.1k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $11.4k | $11.4k | $20.5k |
| Win rate | N/A | 20% | 43% | 63% |
| ROI | N/A | 17% | 17% | 24% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.377 | 0.081 | 0.079 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 |
| Best day | $0 | $31.2k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 8.06 | 8.07 | 7.14 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $2.27k | $1.63k | $1.08k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $-3 | $-3 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 32.26 | 10.76 | 4.16 |
| Largest win | N/A | $13k | $13k | $13k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-1.6k | $-1.6k | $-1.73k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $11.8k | $6.09k | $4.59k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.162 | 0.154 |
| Calmar | 0.952 | 0.952 | 0.952 | 0.952 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 42.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 89% | 89% | 48% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 99% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 5 | 40 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | 100% | 20% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | 0.395 | 0.604 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | 0.210 | 0.633 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | 0% | 77% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 37.3 | 92.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 25.9 | 8.4 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | 5 | 16 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 3.25 | 0.55 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 75% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0361 | 0.0361 | 0.0673 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1529 | 0.1411 | 0.2057 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.545 | 0.707 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0390 | -0.0390 | -0.0390 | -0.0390 |
| Alpha ($) | $-16 | $-16 | $-16 | $-16 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.8% |
| Contrarian score | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0331 | 0.0331 | 0.0331 | 0.0331 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $31.2k |
| $31.2k |
| Worst day | $0 | $-80 | $-7.37k | $-7.37k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $2.27k |
| $1.63k |
| $1.08k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 83% | 1% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 50% | 75% | 71% | 98% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0122 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | 5.00 | 40.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | $4 | $2.16k |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | $3 | $22 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -1.82 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | 0 | 3 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 2.53 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $20.5k | 60% | 15 |
| Elections | $1 | 67% | 3 |
| Rewards 20, 4.5, 50 | $0 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9b6fef24… | $13k | $67.2k | 19.3% |
| 0x3904885b… | $9.74k | $14.6k | 66.7% |
| 0x9bb9f7c7… | $-1.73k | $1.73k | -100.0% |
| 0x17e2f334… | $-1.6k | $1.6k | -100.0% |
| 0x40cf829d… | $923 | $1k | 92.3% |
| 0x3d10d4d3… | $196 | $270 | 72.4% |
| 0xa5e59084… | $7 | $5 | 132.6% |
| 0x0923f4cd… | $5 | $4 | 117.4% |
| 0xedfd694c… | $4 | $6 | 69.5% |
| 0x32046bdc… | $-4 | $4 | -100.0% |
| 0x481c6ee2… | $-4 | $4 | -100.0% |
| 0xc09537a0… | $3 | $5 | 61.3% |
| 0x47a079b6… | $-3 | $3 | -100.0% |
| 0xf5a0c2d5… | $-3 | $3 | -100.0% |
| 0xa7b5b123… | $1 | $3 | 38.9% |
| 40 |
| 40 |
| 40 |
| 40 |