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0x4cfd2db69a9c7a032388003f221c375f374a3d84
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 2722 with median hold 4.8 hours, maker share only 0%.
Capital velocity 10.5 and held-to-resolution 94% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:33:06 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.71k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-531 | $-372 | $-827 | $-827 |
| Win rate | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| ROI | -36% | -11% | -21% | -21% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.021 | -0.150 | -0.148 |
| Markets | 34 | 210 | 1040 | 2220 |
| Best day | $14 | $706 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.55 | 0.84 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-6 | $-2 | $-3 | $-3 |
| Median trade PnL | $-5 | $-5 | $-5 | $-5 |
| Payoff ratio | 6.78 | 7.78 | 7.16 | 7.16 |
| Largest win | $122 | $212 | $212 | $212 |
| Largest loss | $-100 | $-100 | $-100 | $-100 |
| Expectancy | $-6 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $366 | $406 | $275 |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.026 | -0.164 | -0.158 |
| Calmar | -0.935 | -0.935 | -0.935 | -0.935 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 83.5 | 83.5 | 83.5 | 83.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | 31% | 19% | 16% | 16% |
| Concentration top-10 | 51% | 31% | 27% | 27% |
| Max win streak | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Max loss streak | 56 | 56 | 56 | 56 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 36 | 232 | 1163 | 2722 |
| Unique markets | 34 | 210 | 1040 | 2220 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 94% |
| Avg entry price | 0.089 | 0.092 | 0.103 | 0.141 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.085 | 0.020 | 0.005 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 7.2 | 10.1 | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 8.9 | 8.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Max concurrent | 31 | 205 | 1020 | 2067 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.01 | 1.41 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Add-to-winner share | 0% | 6% | 12% | 17% |
| Average-down share | 100% | 47% | 51% | 66% |
| Tilt ratio | 2.20 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 82% | 97% | 98% | 94% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1408 | 0.1886 | 0.1748 | 0.1748 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0877 | 0.1151 | 0.1029 | 0.1029 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.907 | 0.924 | 0.945 | 0.942 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-4 | $-6 | $-5 | $-5 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -83.3% | -72.3% | -56.7% | -56.7% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0963 | -0.0963 | -0.0963 | -0.0963 |
| Alpha ($) | $2 | $2 | $2 | $2 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Contrarian score | -0.125 | -0.125 | -0.125 | -0.125 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0430 | 0.0430 | 0.0430 | 0.0430 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Post-fill observations | 23 |
Joint probability 7.73e-10; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $1.07k |
| $1.07k |
| Worst day | $14 | $-402 | $-1.16k | $-1.16k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-2 |
| $-3 |
| $-3 |
| <0.10 |
| 0% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 20% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 15% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 58% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 33% | 38% | 31% | 31% | 22% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 36.00 | 232.00 | 1163.00 | 2722.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.69 | 1.35 | 4.67 | 10.47 |
| Avg ticket | $29 | $19 | $16 | $15 |
| Median ticket | $12 | $5 | $5 | $10 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -51.90 | -1.51 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.98 |
| 2.18 |
| 2.28 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-827 | 9% | 250 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06cd2c64… | $212 | $50 | 423.1% |
| 0x67cc68fb… | $188 | $25 | 751.1% |
| 0xaa23528a… | $187 | $80 | 233.3% |
| 0x6379bd65… | $122 | $50 | 244.5% |
| 0x1e2e5a20… | $121 | $15 | 809.1% |
| 0xad4c1097… | $120 | $40 | 300.0% |
| 0xaeec5397… | $116 | $60 | 194.1% |
| 0x7c9b1abe… | $108 | $100 | 108.3% |
| 0xc41f543c… | $106 | $102 | 104.1% |
| 0x04d9a1ea… | $106 | $5 | 2122.2% |
| 0xecba7b1d… | $103 | $70 | 146.9% |
| 0x14654077… | $-100 | $100 | -100.0% |
| 0xca5d30ef… | $-100 | $100 | -100.0% |
| 0x0f5e01cf… | $-100 | $100 | -100.0% |
| 0xd4206e27… | $-100 | $100 | -100.0% |
| 23 |
| 23 |
| 23 |