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0x4cb5a6cf70340f068148a740f9ec96cbea75ef29
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.23 of market life) and 95% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (629.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:47:53 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $510k | $432k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $-716k | $432k | $432k |
| Win rate | N/A | 14% | 67% | 67% |
| ROI | N/A | -32% | 11% | 11% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.122 | 0.122 |
| Markets | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 0.28 | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $-102k | $20.6k | $20.6k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $-109k | $15.8k | $15.8k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 1.68 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| Largest win | N/A | $279k | $518k | $518k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-426k | $-426k | $-426k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $219k | $219k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 |
| Calmar | 0.640 | 0.640 | 0.640 | 0.640 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 33% | 21% | 21% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 93% | 63% | 63% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 86% | 86% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 11 | 629 | 629 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 100% | 77% | 77% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.820 | 0.686 | 0.686 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 1.000 | 0.139 | 0.139 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 5.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 4.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 1 | 20 | 20 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 0% | 72% | 72% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 70% | 10% | 10% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 100% | 95% | 95% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.2465 | 0.1970 | 0.1970 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.3738 | 0.2557 | 0.2557 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.193 | 0.233 | 0.233 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0395 | -0.0395 | -0.0395 | -0.0395 |
| Alpha ($) | $-10.1k | $-10.1k | $-10.1k | $-10.1k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -14.6% | -14.6% | -14.6% | -14.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.432 | -0.432 | -0.432 | -0.432 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0274 | -0.0274 | -0.0274 | -0.0274 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $646k |
| $646k |
| Worst day | $0 | $0 | $-426k | $-426k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-102k |
| $20.6k |
| $20.6k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 75% | 75% | 9% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 0% | 75% | 75% | 3% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 17% | 58% | 58% | 83% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 6% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | 11.00 | 629.00 | 629.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 0.56 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | $115k | $6.53k | $6.53k |
| Median ticket | N/A | $28.8k | $35 | $35 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -493.00 | -493.00 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N/A |
| 0.34 |
| 0.34 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tennis | $432k | 67% | 21 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf7266d7d… | $518k | $227k | 228.1% |
| 0xacb0eed7… | $-426k | $426k | -100.0% |
| 0xb96585ac… | $279k | $1.27M | 22.0% |
| 0xee2eac71… | $-207k | $207k | -100.0% |
| 0xc2ed4419… | $-164k | $164k | -100.0% |
| 0x9840fe7e… | $147k | $338k | 43.5% |
| 0x00a98be9… | $127k | $312k | 40.8% |
| 0x223788d9… | $-109k | $109k | -100.0% |
| 0x0a9007c1… | $89.4k | $43.1k | 207.8% |
| 0x081291a0… | $86.6k | $34.9k | 248.2% |
| 0x12ad5730… | $66.1k | $312k | 21.2% |
| 0xb7d31b01… | $65.8k | $173k | 38.1% |
| 0x07c5e374… | $-54.3k | $54.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x749d3ee1… | $-45.1k | $45.1k | -100.0% |
| 0x2b8f3a51… | $35.8k | $48.9k | 73.2% |
| 614 |
| 614 |
| 614 |
| 614 |