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0x4cb03276679d644ec1852f744668f345d41657e0
Tilted GamblerGrade Darchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 5.78 and disposition ratio 0.12, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 20.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:47:52 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$33.7k
Open PnL
$850
Max drawdown
$8.33k
Underwater days
5
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $20k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.98k | $17k | $33.7k | $33.7k |
| Win rate | 50% | 52% | 54% | 54% |
| ROI | 62% | 28% | 24% | 24% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.658 | 0.324 | 0.324 |
| Markets | 2 | 26 | 80 | 80 |
| Best day | $-10 | $10.2k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 3.29 | 2.24 | 1.73 | 1.73 |
| Mean trade PnL | $745 | $514 | $432 | $432 |
| Median trade PnL | $554 | $39 | $423 | $423 |
| Payoff ratio | 3.29 | 2.10 | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| Largest win | $2.77k | $4.49k | $4.49k | $4.49k |
| Largest loss | $-903 | $-1.87k | $-3.42k | $-3.42k |
| Expectancy | $745 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $4.35k | $3.47k | $3.47k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 1.469 | 0.435 | 0.435 |
| Calmar | 3.636 | 3.636 | 3.636 | 3.636 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 50% | 10% | 4% | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 35% | 15% | 15% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 59% | 28% | 28% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 8 | 23 | 23 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 10 | 20 | 20 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 4 | 42 | 247 | 247 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 26 | 80 | 80 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 89% | 89% |
| Avg entry price | 0.506 | 0.568 | 0.510 | 0.510 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.537 | 0.158 | 0.035 | 0.035 |
| Maker share (notional) | 2% | 9% | 12% | 12% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.1 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.1 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 22 | 69 | 69 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.59 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 0% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.00 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 83% | 86% | 86% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2781 | 0.1794 | 0.2202 | 0.2202 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2743 | 0.2544 | 0.2557 | 0.2557 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.758 | 0.648 | 0.648 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1897 | -0.1897 | -0.1897 | -0.1897 |
| Alpha ($) | $-77 | $-77 | $-77 | $-77 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.194 | 0.194 | 0.194 | 0.194 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.1818 | -0.1818 | -0.1818 | -0.1818 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- Scalper: 55.2%
- Conviction Holder: 43.8%
- News Sniper: 39.2%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 38.8%