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0x46992d0e547e3822a9c28723f51bfa804ae4e03c
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
96% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (97%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.03).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:18:07 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $2.1k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-14.5k | $-3.98k | $-3.98k | $-3.98k |
| Win rate | 93% | 97% | 97% | 97% |
| ROI | -7% | -0% | -0% | -0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.104 | 0.026 | 0.016 |
| Markets | 46 | 587 | 1733 | 4023 |
| Best day | $2.73k | $5.51k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.19 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-216 | $-11 | $-11 | $-11 |
| Median trade PnL | $8 | $12 | $12 | $12 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Largest win | $1.2k | $2.39k | $2.39k | $2.39k |
| Largest loss | $-8.43k | $-8.43k | $-8.43k | $-8.43k |
| Expectancy | $-216 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $5.91k | $12.3k | $3.53k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.085 | 0.020 | 0.004 |
| Calmar | 0.617 | 0.617 | 0.617 | 0.617 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 14.4 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 14.4 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 58% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
| Concentration top-5 | 90% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Concentration top-10 | 95% | 62% | 62% | 62% |
| Max win streak | 21 | 110 | 110 | 110 |
| Max loss streak | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 127 | 2065 | 6526 | 23438 |
| Unique markets | 46 | 587 | 1733 | 4023 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 14% |
| Avg entry price | 0.937 | 0.964 | 0.946 | 0.955 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.314 | 0.016 | 0.005 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | 18% | 19% | 17% | 22% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.0 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 6.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Max concurrent | 29 | 487 | 1453 | 2920 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.67 | 48.35 | 4.05 | 4.83 |
| Add-to-winner share | 23% | 69% | 69% | 83% |
| Average-down share | 70% | 29% | 28% | 16% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.57 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 14% | 82% | 82% | 77% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0698 | 0.0277 | 0.0277 | 0.0277 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0557 | 0.0201 | 0.0201 | 0.0201 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.589 | 0.723 | 0.749 | 0.771 |
| Exit quality ($) | $8 | $6 | $6 | $6 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.5% | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0373 | -0.0373 | -0.0373 | -0.0373 |
| Alpha ($) | $-339 | $-339 | $-339 | $-339 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -95.9% | -95.9% | -95.9% | -95.9% |
| Contrarian score | -0.048 | -0.048 | -0.048 | -0.048 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0027 | -0.0027 | -0.0027 | -0.0027 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $24.7k |
| $24.7k |
| Worst day | $2.73k | $-11.9k | $-49.3k | $-49.3k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-11 |
| $-11 |
| $-11 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 50% | 80% | 80% | 80% | 4% |
| >0.90 | 94% | 98% | 98% | 98% | 96% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 127.00 | 2065.00 | 6526.00 | 23438.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.35 | 2.27 | 8.58 | 22.87 |
| Avg ticket | $2.31k | $1k | $1.2k | $890 |
| Median ticket | $275 | $195 | $165 | $99 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 31.60 | 13.14 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
| 2.00 |
| 1.67 |
| 2.25 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-13.2k | 79% | 14 |
| Up or Down | $4.39k | 100% | 33 |
| Tennis | $3.06k | 93% | 15 |
| Iran | $-2k | 50% | 4 |
| Bitcoin | $1.57k | 100% | 11 |
| Trump | $-1.4k | 75% | 4 |
| Crypto | $1.17k | 100% | 19 |
| Weather | $1.14k | 99% | 240 |
| Culture | $476 | 100% | 5 |
| SPX | $410 | 100% | 2 |
| Middle East | $307 | 100% | 1 |
| Player H2H | $96 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xaf767784… | $-12.3k | $82.4k | -14.9% |
| 0xadf4acda… | $-8.05k | $9.1k | -88.4% |
| 0xeb9f5707… | $-3.43k | $3.43k | -100.0% |
| 0x50dc6ed5… | $2.39k | $7.59k | 31.4% |
| 0xcb213e5e… | $-1.49k | $1.58k | -94.4% |
| 0x6c486242… | $1.43k | $29.8k | 4.8% |
| 0x508f0c9a… | $-1.39k | $1.39k | -100.0% |
| 0x3aef92b9… | $1.2k | $27.3k | 4.4% |
| 0x57784b4d… | $816 | $5.63k | 14.5% |
| 0xa3f9a06d… | $-767 | $767 | -100.0% |
| 0xa939332b… | $715 | $21k | 3.4% |
| 0x776956c5… | $657 | $36.3k | 1.8% |
| 0xf25693d3… | $628 | $5.42k | 11.6% |
| 0x0d6ac08b… | $602 | $16k | 3.8% |
| 0xcee5d052… | $600 | $9.4k | 6.4% |
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