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0x4344…caef
0x4344066fa99418555cd750de88883b703003caef
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
75% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (55%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (1.44).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:47:15 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$603k
Open PnL
$0
Max drawdown
$66k
Underwater days
434
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $603k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $691k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 55% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.092 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 798 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.79 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $629 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.44 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $239k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-38.9k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $14k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.151 |
| Calmar | 9.147 | 9.147 | 9.147 | 9.147 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 433.4 | 433.4 | 433.4 | 433.4 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 10% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 29% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 40% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 15 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 32 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16770 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 798 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 53% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.636 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.042 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 47% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 323.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 118.7 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 539 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.27 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 69% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 26% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 63% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0398 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0778 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.752 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $59 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 309.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1266 | -0.1266 | -0.1266 | -0.1266 |
| Alpha ($) | $4.02k | $4.02k | $4.02k | $4.02k |
| Alpha ROI gap | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.059 | 0.059 | 0.059 | 0.059 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0178 | -0.0178 | -0.0178 | -0.0178 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 56.1%
- Tilted Gambler: 44.2%
- Scalper: 43.4%
- Conviction Holder: 41.3%
- News Sniper: 35.4%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 8.29e-23; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xaa24dd3e67… entry 0.272 timing 0.21
- 0xef0b57daa5… entry 0.019 timing 0.01
- 0x6edc6c77c1… entry 0.039 timing 0.82
- 0x65b863fdc8… entry 0.029 timing 0.45
- 0xeac63aba0e… entry 0.010 timing 0.01
- 0x8b5074f3e6… entry 0.080 timing 0.35
- 0xe61b00b634… entry 0.090
- 0x21149909e8… entry 0.051
- 0xbcc6447b9b… entry 0.148
- 0xf3a1584703… entry 0.107 timing 0.71
- 0x0691e0a7c1… entry 0.122 timing 0.71
- 0xa22d2a91dc… entry 0.242 timing 0.20
- 0x83ee2b3909… entry 0.098
- 0x71be5ab306… entry 0.098
- 0x186298efa4… entry 0.028 timing 0.19
- 0x2a6698afa3… entry 0.100 timing 0.19
- 0xd02ba1aa54… entry 0.049
- 0x9336d5d6f2… entry 0.049 timing 0.52