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0x4337…8882
0x43372356634781eea88d61bbdd7824cdce958882
Favorite GrinderGrade Darchetypes-v1
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
70% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (64%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (1.30).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:54:27 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$764k
Open PnL
$-907k
Max drawdown
$428k
Underwater days
92
Equity curve
Board ranks
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $796 | N/A | N/A | $740k |
| Realized PnL | $107k | $121k | $1.08M | $6.41M |
| Win rate | 84% | 75% | 74% | 64% |
| ROI | 31% | 3% | 9% | 8% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.306 | -0.275 | 0.051 |
| Markets | 80 | 228 | 567 | 3883 |
| Best day | $26k | $26k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 22.71 | 1.42 | 1.95 | 2.35 |
| Mean trade PnL | $2.38k | $770 | $1.85k | $641 |
| Median trade PnL | $31 | $13 | $21 | $10 |
| Payoff ratio | 4.42 | 0.47 | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| Largest win | $51.5k | $70.8k | $296k | $296k |
| Largest loss | $-4.67k | $-70.7k | $-148k | $-148k |
| Expectancy | $2.38k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $43.6k | $31.1k | $16.8k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.244 | -0.237 | 0.039 |
| Calmar | 1.199 | 1.199 | 1.199 | 1.199 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 33.4 | 33.4 | 33.4 | 33.4 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 49% | 20% | 9% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 96% | 57% | 29% | 7% |
| Concentration top-10 | 99% | 80% | 47% | 12% |
| Max win streak | 12 | 12 | 17 | 27 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 962 | 5005 | 18448 | 66295 |
| Unique markets | 80 | 228 | 567 | 3883 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 101% |
| Avg entry price | 0.219 | 0.419 | 0.690 | 0.518 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.211 | 0.053 | 0.019 | 0.007 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 98% | 90% | 90% |
| Two-sided share | 11% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.6 | 24.3 | 13.3 | 88.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 3.9 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 4.9 |
| Max concurrent | 7 | 46 | 134 | 705 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.02 | 0.01 | 6.38 | 3.46 |
| Add-to-winner share | 37% | 44% | 7% | 72% |
| Average-down share | 51% | 56% | 8% | 18% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.14 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 7% | 21% | 22% | 15% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1251 | 0.0215 | 0.0450 | 0.0591 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2564 | 0.1516 | 0.1404 | 0.1255 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.767 | 0.858 | 0.862 | 0.789 |
| Exit quality ($) | $37 | $-101 | $-1.13k | $-136 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -7.0% | 525.3% | 184.5% | 1060.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0537 | -0.0537 | -0.0537 | -0.0537 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.4k | $-2.4k | $-2.4k | $-2.4k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -33.8% | -33.8% | -33.8% | -33.8% |
| Contrarian score | -0.467 | -0.467 | -0.467 | -0.467 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 62.4%
- Scalper: 56.0%
- Tilted Gambler: 54.6%
- Contrarian Fader: 45.0%
- News Sniper: 41.7%