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0x42f4d88e2a48c25ba572e7b986b24697615c04c6
Secondary: Contrarian Fader
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.37 and disposition ratio 1.11, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 271.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Contrarian Fader, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:40:54 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $22.5k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $7.9k | $-42.5k | $-42.5k |
| Win rate | N/A | 55% | 61% | 61% |
| ROI | N/A | 0% | -1% | -1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.367 | 0.252 | 0.155 |
| Markets | 0 | 21 | 129 | 131 |
| Best day | $0 | $23.1k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 1.14 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $197 | $-249 | $-246 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.93 | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| Largest win | N/A | $53.3k | $131k | $131k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-26.7k | $-65.2k | $-65.2k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $8.78k | $5.06k | $3.17k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 7.680 | 0.707 | 0.289 |
| Calmar | 4.806 | 4.806 | 4.806 | 4.806 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 13.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 45% | 30% | 30% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 98% | 78% | 78% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 87% | 87% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 14 | 41 | 41 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 16 | 27 | 27 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 258 | 1183 | 1185 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 21 | 129 | 131 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 100% | 63% | 19% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.971 | 0.558 | 0.558 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 0.265 | 0.099 | 0.099 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 76% | 55% | 55% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 0.6 | 44.3 | 44.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 0.2 | 49.1 | 49.1 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 7 | 57 | 59 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 100% | 31% | 31% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 29% | 29% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 33% | 45% | 46% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0328 | 0.0277 | 0.0277 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.0216 | 0.0126 | 0.0124 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.823 | 0.936 | 0.935 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-519 | $-434 | $-429 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 12.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.87k | $-2.87k | $-2.87k | $-2.87k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -45.2% | -45.2% | -45.2% | -45.2% |
| Contrarian score | -0.600 | -0.600 | -0.600 | -0.600 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0052 | 0.0052 | 0.0052 | 0.0052 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $23.1k |
| $23.1k |
| Worst day | $0 | $-555 | $-3.96k | $-3.96k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $197 |
| $-249 |
| $-246 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 6% |
| 5% |
| 5% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 50% | 25% | 25% | 2% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 74% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 94% | 95% | 95% | 23% |
| 0% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.0021 | 0.0010 | 0.0010 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | 258.00 | 1183.00 | 1185.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 0.07 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | $1.58k | $1.66k | $1.65k |
| Median ticket | N/A | $50 | $40 | $40 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -314.50 | 36.05 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 9.54 |
| 2.37 |
| 2.37 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-42.2k | 64% | 136 |
| Soccer | $-959 | 79% | 14 |
| UEFA | $495 | 13% | 16 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $111 | 100% | 2 |
| Group Futures | $6 | 100% | 1 |
| Economy | $5 | 100% | 1 |
| Politics | $3 | 100% | 1 |
| President | $0 | N/A | 0 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7a582647… | $131k | $160k | 81.8% |
| 0x099d1209… | $-65.2k | $65.4k | -99.7% |
| 0xb53a439c… | $-65.2k | $214k | -30.4% |
| 0xf358c803… | $53.3k | $26.7k | 200.0% |
| 0x13b842b2… | $-26.7k | $26.7k | -100.0% |
| 0x50dc6ed5… | $-26.6k | $79.9k | -33.3% |
| 0x375409bc… | $6.6k | $3.96k | 166.7% |
| 0x4f3421fb… | $3.63k | $1.39k | 260.3% |
| 0xbbb20aee… | $1.73k | $174k | 1.0% |
| 0xe5bd8031… | $-1.39k | $1.39k | -100.0% |
| 0x9be56371… | $-1.39k | $1.39k | -100.0% |
| 0x1595b481… | $-1.39k | $1.39k | -100.0% |
| 0x33a87d02… | $-1.39k | $1.39k | -100.0% |
| 0x965ebc5d… | $-1.39k | $1.39k | -100.0% |
| 0xff0cfa95… | $-1.39k | $1.39k | -100.0% |
| 25 |
| 25 |
| 25 |
| 25 |