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0x412fe1a101554f0b382181c3af932e4b2d8030fa
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.68 and disposition ratio 0.92, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 255.3), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:41:31 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $25.2k | $388k | $616k |
| Realized PnL | $156k | $13.7k | $533k | $616k |
| Win rate | 75% | 43% | 34% | 40% |
| ROI | 216% | 6% | 21% | 11% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.044 | 0.200 | 0.083 |
| Markets | 3 | 5 | 134 | 1193 |
| Best day | $1.01k | $155k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 1543.19 | 1.10 | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Mean trade PnL | $38.9k | $1.96k | $3.23k | $490 |
| Median trade PnL | $5.86k | $-101 | $-340 | $-69 |
| Payoff ratio | 514.40 | 1.46 | 2.65 | 1.81 |
| Largest win | $144k | $144k | $144k | $144k |
| Largest loss | $-101 | $-128k | $-128k | $-128k |
| Expectancy | $38.9k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $82.4k | $84.1k | $35k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.212 | 0.097 |
| Calmar | 3.529 | 3.529 | 3.529 | 3.529 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 93% | 49% | 4% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 19% | 9% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 16% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 3 | 7 | 90 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 200 | 274 | 8076 | 16528 |
| Unique markets | 3 | 5 | 134 | 1193 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 40% | 83% | 95% |
| Avg entry price | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.399 | 0.441 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.694 | 0.445 | 0.023 | 0.006 |
| Maker share (notional) | 78% | 91% | 61% | 54% |
| Two-sided share | 33% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 4 | 71 | 722 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.92 |
| Add-to-winner share | 0% | 0% | 12% | 48% |
| Average-down share | 100% | 100% | 78% | 30% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 75% | 67% | 46% | 58% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.4622 | 0.3514 | 0.2536 | 0.2462 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2617 | 0.2069 | 0.1871 | 0.2073 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.797 | 0.922 | 0.958 | 0.917 |
| Exit quality ($) | $334 | $230 | $-112 | $-11 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 49.3% | 28.5% | -0.3% | 0.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0222 | -0.0222 | -0.0222 | -0.0222 |
| Alpha ($) | $-7 | $-7 | $-7 | $-7 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -10.1% | -10.1% | -10.1% | -10.1% |
| Contrarian score | -0.653 | -0.653 | -0.653 | -0.653 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0518 | -0.0518 | -0.0518 | -0.0518 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 4.65e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $215k |
| $215k |
| Worst day | $1.01k | $-130k | $-159k | $-159k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $1.96k |
| $3.23k |
| $490 |
| <0.10 |
| 50% |
| 50% |
| 12% |
| 7% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 50% | 30% | 30% | 36% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 0% | 50% | 46% | 59% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 73% | 5% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 0% |
| 20% |
| 22% |
| 5% |
| Spread capture | 0.3877 | 0.2553 | 0.0740 | 0.1548 |
| Inventory turnover | 200.00 | 274.00 | 8076.00 | 16528.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.32 | 1.05 | 1.47 | 1.57 |
| Avg ticket | $477 | $824 | $469 | $540 |
| Median ticket | $12 | $9 | $12 | $15 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -519.50 | 47.59 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.02 |
| 5.49 |
| 2.68 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $634k | 40% | 1182 |
| Tennis | $-19.8k | 14% | 7 |
| Esports | $11.2k | 43% | 58 |
| UFC 325 | $-8.13k | 0% | 4 |
| NFL Playoffs | $-511 | 50% | 2 |
| Up or Down | $-5 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xaeec5397… | $145k | $68.6k | 211.2% |
| 0xecba7b1d… | $-128k | $128k | -100.0% |
| 0x68064abe… | $117k | $72.8k | 160.8% |
| 0xb21e7fe7… | $117k | $58.5k | 199.4% |
| 0xfb2e5240… | $107k | $41.5k | 258.3% |
| 0xb11163ef… | $101k | $28.4k | 354.5% |
| 0x1cbfc85e… | $98.5k | $49.4k | 199.5% |
| 0xcc402662… | $98.2k | $92.8k | 105.8% |
| 0xcbececf2… | $88.7k | $42.7k | 207.5% |
| 0xc7f1b0c3… | $79.8k | $53.8k | 148.5% |
| 0xae9433e4… | $76k | $11.4k | 669.2% |
| 0xe6906202… | $71.6k | $40.9k | 175.0% |
| 0xb7dc069e… | $70k | $33.5k | 209.2% |
| 0xba9f8cf5… | $-60.5k | $60.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x9c183f63… | $59.8k | $66.1k | 90.4% |
| 87 |
| 87 |
| 87 |
| 87 |