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0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
98% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (99%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.43).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:39:23 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.32k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $162 | $16.4k | $37.3k | $58.3k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
| ROI | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.096 | 0.108 | 0.084 |
| Markets | 10 | 45 | 126 | 211 |
| Best day | $833 | $9.84k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 68.62 |
| Mean trade PnL | $40 | $682 | $392 | $365 |
| Median trade PnL | $43 | $336 | $75 | $65 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.43 |
| Largest win | $75 | $4.7k | $4.7k | $4.7k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-863 |
| Expectancy | $40 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $8.59k | $6.31k | $4.38k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.052 | 0.057 | 0.056 |
| Calmar | 1.038 | 1.038 | 1.038 | 1.038 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 46% | 29% | 13% | 8% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 62% | 36% | 25% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 90% | 54% | 41% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 24 | 95 | 145 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 55 | 613 | 1897 | 3330 |
| Unique markets | 10 | 45 | 126 | 211 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 89% | 72% |
| Avg entry price | 0.997 | 0.958 | 0.951 | 0.960 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.190 | 0.070 | 0.029 | 0.017 |
| Maker share (notional) | 86% | 51% | 34% | 44% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 20.4 | 81.3 | 107.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 11.2 | 40.0 | 44.7 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 37 | 108 | 170 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.35 | 3.77 | 4.64 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 68% | 81% | 87% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 29% | 13% | 9% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 93% | 89% | 81% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0006 | 0.0020 | 0.0169 | 0.0308 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0006 | 0.0063 | 0.0342 | 0.0766 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.610 | 0.587 | 0.601 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-3 | $266 | $465 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | 3.4% | 7.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0058 | -0.0058 | -0.0058 | -0.0058 |
| Alpha ($) | $-470 | $-470 | $-470 | $-470 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1.4% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.331 | -0.331 | -0.331 | -0.331 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0011 | -0.0011 | -0.0011 | -0.0011 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $9.84k |
| $9.84k |
| Worst day | $833 | $-14.7k | $-18.2k | $-18.2k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $682 |
| $392 |
| $365 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 2% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% | 98% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| Spread capture | 0.0036 | -0.0065 | -0.0048 | -0.0011 |
| Inventory turnover | 55.00 | 613.00 | 1897.00 | 3330.00 |
| Capital velocity | 5.25 | 1.36 | 1.37 | 1.49 |
| Avg ticket | $1.03k | $928 | $1.09k | $1.11k |
| Median ticket | $166 | $189 | $124 | $105 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 108.50 | 16.93 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 1.08 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Politics | $11.3k | 100% | 33 |
| Iran | $8.66k | 100% | 13 |
| Football Culture | $8.21k | 100% | 11 |
| Iran Regime | $4.61k | 100% | 2 |
| Aliens | $4.26k | 100% | 2 |
| Enrich | $4.04k | 100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | $2.75k | 100% | 7 |
| transit | $1.63k | 100% | 2 |
| AI | $1.56k | 100% | 26 |
| Sports | $1.35k | 100% | 3 |
| putin | $1.18k | 100% | 1 |
| shah | $1.07k | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa37edbac… | $4.7k | $72.4k | 6.5% |
| 0xa7962b12… | $2.97k | $139k | 2.1% |
| 0xbcacd5a0… | $2.74k | $39k | 7.0% |
| 0xa1d97efb… | $2.64k | $43.1k | 6.1% |
| 0x865303cc… | $2.24k | $72.2k | 3.1% |
| 0x3f0743b8… | $2.04k | $55.2k | 3.7% |
| 0xb4067f81… | $1.99k | $45.3k | 4.4% |
| 0x6897736d… | $1.97k | $77k | 2.6% |
| 0x6169a5cf… | $1.7k | $71.7k | 2.4% |
| 0x95c0d037… | $1.61k | $35.1k | 4.6% |
| 0xffe381a8… | $1.58k | $86.3k | 1.8% |
| 0x1db02ba5… | $1.54k | $29.2k | 5.3% |
| 0xc8f75911… | $1.38k | $36.2k | 3.8% |
| 0xd94b679b… | $1.37k | $35.3k | 3.9% |
| 0xcddc048c… | $1.29k | $75.2k | 1.7% |
| 963 |
| 963 |
| 963 |
| 963 |