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0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
57% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (63%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.50).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:40:50 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.79k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $14.9k | $9.12k | $-71.3k |
| Win rate | N/A | 67% | 82% | 63% |
| ROI | N/A | 69% | 1% | -2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.180 | -0.050 | -0.024 |
| Markets | 4 | 19 | 55 | 1140 |
| Best day | $3.54k | $387k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 6.04 | 1.24 | 0.85 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $4.97k | $172 | $-62 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $1.74k | $80 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 3.02 | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| Largest win | N/A | $16.1k | $16.1k | $36.7k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-2.95k | $-8.46k | $-76.4k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $347k | $172k | $74.2k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.140 | -0.043 | -0.021 |
| Calmar | -0.332 | -0.332 | -0.332 | -0.332 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 77% | 19% | 9% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 60% | 25% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 83% | 37% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 1 | 18 | 25 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 2 | 56 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 10 | 356 | 2732 | 10946 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 19 | 55 | 1140 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 96% |
| Avg entry price | 0.963 | 0.426 | 0.333 | 0.479 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.502 | 0.170 | 0.112 | 0.025 |
| Maker share (notional) | 10% | 39% | 41% | 37% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 25.2 | 113.0 | 145.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 22.1 | 87.8 | 28.8 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 7 | 17 | 553 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.12 | 0.99 | 1.85 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 88% | 53% | 65% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 44% | 32% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 0% | 15% | 48% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.1653 | 0.1283 | 0.0664 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.3541 | 0.1039 | 0.1119 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.527 | 0.760 | 0.837 | 0.822 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $9.89k | $1.62k | $19 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 72.9% | 17.7% | 36.6% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0669 | -0.0669 | -0.0669 | -0.0669 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.25k | $-1.25k | $-1.25k | $-1.25k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -15.1% | -15.1% | -15.1% | -15.1% |
| Contrarian score | 0.382 | 0.382 | 0.382 | 0.382 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0145 | -0.0145 | -0.0145 | -0.0145 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $387k |
| $387k |
| Worst day | $3.54k | $-768k | $-768k | $-768k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $4.97k |
| $172 |
| $-62 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 25% |
| 13% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 100% | 75% | 46% | 4% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 0% | 44% | 15% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 67% | 69% | 22% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 0% | 94% | 75% | 57% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 3% |
| Spread capture | N/A | -0.0143 | -0.0020 | -0.0209 |
| Inventory turnover | 10.00 | 356.00 | 2732.00 | 10946.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 16.43 | 3.01 | 1.57 |
| Avg ticket | $3.76k | $1k | $860 | $605 |
| Median ticket | $65 | $65 | $19 | $20 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -152.60 | 20.78 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.05 |
| 0.17 |
| 1.99 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-52.2k | 44% | 172 |
| Geopolitics | $-45.7k | 64% | 14 |
| Iran | $-12.3k | 70% | 33 |
| Derivatives | $11.3k | 67% | 6 |
| Big Tech | $10.5k | 100% | 7 |
| Oil | $-10.3k | 33% | 3 |
| Parent For Derivative | $8.92k | 88% | 8 |
| Finance | $-8.22k | 70% | 20 |
| Bitcoin | $6.72k | 56% | 16 |
| CPI Release | $-6.69k | 0% | 1 |
| transit | $-5.79k | 33% | 3 |
| Peru | $5.47k | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3488f31e… | $-76.4k | $76.4k | -100.0% |
| 0xd4bbf7f6… | $-44.5k | $44.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x70909f0b… | $36.7k | $108k | 33.9% |
| 0x797d586a… | $24.9k | $65.1k | 38.2% |
| 0x22e7b5e3… | $-23.4k | $23.4k | -100.0% |
| 0x9b6fef24… | $16.1k | $13.6k | 118.8% |
| 0x6d6fd5d2… | $-15.8k | $17.7k | -89.4% |
| 0xc00920db… | $-15.5k | $15.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x0fb006e0… | $15.5k | $26.5k | 58.6% |
| 0x46d40e85… | $15.4k | $319k | 4.8% |
| 0x6114a8a3… | $-15.2k | $56.7k | -26.8% |
| 0x0e4a0c93… | $-14.8k | $17.2k | -86.2% |
| 0xb6b3d7a2… | $12.8k | $7.44k | 171.5% |
| 0xfb1835b8… | $-11.2k | $19.2k | -58.3% |
| 0x561cd8d0… | $-10.3k | $10.3k | -100.0% |
| 998 |
| 998 |
| 998 |
| 998 |